Should I buy Rocket Lab USA stock in 2025?

What is Rocket Lab USA?

How much is Rocket Lab USA stock?

The price of Rocket Lab USA stock is falling this week. As of now, the stock is trading at $25.42, with a 24-hour change of -1.55% and a weekly performance of -0.59%. Rocket Lab’s market capitalization stands at $11.73 billion, and its average trading volume over the past three months is 17.15 million shares.

The company currently has no P/E ratio due to ongoing losses, offers a 0% dividend yield, and shows a beta of 1.86, indicating higher-than-average price swings. This elevated volatility highlights both the dynamic potential and the risks of investing in the space sector from the Philippines.

Our full analysis on Rocket Lab USA stock

After a rigorous review of Rocket Lab USA’s most recent financial disclosures and analyzing the stock’s trajectory over the past three years, our proprietary algorithms have synthesized a mosaic of fundamental and technical data, competitor positioning, and evolving sector trends. The result is a holistic perspective that brings to light an increasingly compelling narrative for Rocket Lab within the Aerospace & Defense sector. So, why might Rocket Lab USA stock once again become a strategic entry point in the commercial space economy heading into 2025?

Recent Performance and Market Context

Rocket Lab USA (NASDAQ: RKLB) has experienced an extraordinary rally over the last twelve months, with its stock surging nearly 500%—a clear testament to sustained investor capital flow and escalating interest in the commercial space sector. While short-term volatility remains (the stock recorded a modest -1.55% daily and -0.59% weekly move), it is the remarkable +212% increase over the last six months that truly impresses. This momentum has elevated Rocket Lab’s market capitalization to $11.73 billion, a level that reflects its expanding relevance in a rapidly growing industry.

Several recent positive developments reinforce this upward trajectory:

• Launch Milestones: Successful completion of its 65th Electron rocket mission, underscoring a growing track record of reliable launch services.
• Strategic Wins: Notable contracts secured with the U.S. Space Force ($5.6 billion NSSL program) and NASA, positioning Rocket Lab as a central player in government space initiatives.
• Backlog Expansion: A commercial launch backlog exceeding $1 billion, providing visibility and underlining robust demand for Rocket Lab’s unique capabilities.

Against a backdrop of heightened global interest in space infrastructure and strong governmental spending on defense, Rocket Lab stands positioned for sustained capital inflow—a key factor for investors seeking exposure to long-duration growth sectors.

Technical Analysis

Rocket Lab’s short and medium-term technical structure is demonstrably constructive. Momentum indicators and price action combine to suggest that the stock may be primed for another leg higher:

• Strength in Momentum: The RSI sits at 61.82—comfortably within the bull range, but not yet signaling overbought conditions. This provides room for further appreciation without technical exhaustion.
• MACD Readings: At 1.35, the MACD indicates bullish momentum, confirming ongoing buyer dominance.
• Moving Averages: With the share price positioned robustly above the 20-day, 50-day, and especially the 200-day moving average ($17.68), Rocket Lab exhibits a classic bullish trend. Notably, the recent “golden cross” where the 50-day MA surpassed the 200-day MA reinforces the case for continued upside.
• Support and Resistance: Immediate support is clustered around $24.13, with additional buffers at $22.97 and $22.22. Meanwhile, the stock is probing resistance at $25.57; a successful breakout above this threshold could catalyze a move towards the next resistance bands at $26.21 and $27.24.
• Chart Structure: The stock is trading within an ascending channel—a technical configuration that often precedes bullish continuations, especially when supported by volume.

For active investors, these signals align to suggest improving risk/reward dynamics at current levels, with the market structure creating natural downside protection near well-tested support.

Fundamental Analysis

Rocket Lab’s fundamentals increasingly justify renewed investor interest, particularly as the company transitions from pure-launch provider to an integrated space systems leader.

Revenue Growth and Profitability Trajectory

Q1 2025 revenue grew 32% year-over-year to $122.6 million, comfortably topping analyst consensus. While the company reported a net loss of $60.6 million—a marginal widening versus Q1 2024—this was driven in part by continued R&D investment in high-growth platforms like the Neutron rocket. With forward guidance projecting Q2 revenues of $130-140 million and gross margins in the 30–32% range, top-line acceleration remains intact.

Attractive Valuation Dynamics

Though legacy valuation tools such as P/E ratio are not yet applicable (Rocket Lab remains pre-profit), other metrics such as price-to-sales (P/S) and enterprise value-to-revenue reinforce the appealing growth/valuation mix. Analyst consensus targets a price of $33.05 per share, implying approximately 30% upside from present levels. In the context of a technology growth stock in a high-barrier sector, this is notably attractive.

Strategic Positioning and Structural Strengths

• End-to-End Capability: Vertical integration across rockets, spacecraft, and critical components positions Rocket Lab uniquely relative to pure-play launch peers.
• Diversified Revenue Streams: Balanced exposure to both launch services and rapidly expanding space systems.
• Innovation Pipeline: The upcoming Neutron rocket, capable of addressing 98% of forecasted satellite launches by 2029, expands the company’s addressable market exponentially.
• Customer Base: High-quality, blue-chip partnerships with NASA, the U.S. Space Force, and leading commercial enterprises strengthen both revenue reliability and brand equity.

The alignment of financial momentum, strategic contracts, and sectoral tailwinds underpins a fundamentally constructive view for future value creation.

Volume and Liquidity

Sustained high trading volumes—averaging 17.15 million shares daily over the recent quarter—provide multiple advantages for investors:

• Strong Liquidity: Facilitates efficient entry/exit, even at scale—critical for both institutional and retail investors.
• Dynamic Valuation: The float size and breadth of institutional participation (~71.8%) support stable price formation and rapid price discovery in response to news or technical signals.
• Market Confidence: Persistent, above-average volume often denotes underlying confidence in the story, with increased buying interest signaling that capital is seeking longer-term exposure.

This combination of strong liquidity and market breadth creates a favorable environment for both tactical trading and strategic, medium-term positioning.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

Rocket Lab’s near- and medium-term prospects are defined by a suite of high-impact bullish catalysts:

• Neutron Rocket Debut (2H 2025): The imminent launch of the Neutron rocket stands as a transformative event, unlocking participation in higher-payload, higher-margin missions, dramatically expanding the company’s addressable market.
• Government and Defense Growth: Selection for critical U.S. Space Force and NASA contracts places Rocket Lab at the heart of global defense and security priorities, ensuring robust and recurring demand.
• Commercial Backlog: A $1+ billion contracted backlog delivers highly visible future revenues, allowing for more aggressive capital deployment and innovation.
• Emerging Markets: Expansion into point-to-point cargo tests, further defense applications, and potential for reusable launch technology to lower costs and improve profitability.
• ESG and Sustainability: The pursuit of reusable rocket technology and commitment to sustainability initiatives increasingly resonate with institutional capital and can facilitate long-term index inclusion.

Sector context remains favorable: The global commercial space economy continues to grow at double-digit rates, with demand for launch services, satellite deployment, and space systems showing no sign of abating.

Investment Strategies

The combination of technical structure, catalyst-rich pipeline, and sectoral momentum creates compelling arguments for entry across investment timeframes:

Short-Term Opportunities

• Positioning near support ($24.13–$25.00) provides a trading-friendly setup.
• Upcoming catalyst: potential breakout above $25.57 resistance. Positive news flow around launches or further contract wins could trigger swift upward re-pricing.

Medium-Term Outlook

• The approach of the Neutron first launch in late 2025, plus quarterly results, offer periodic opportunities for tactical entries.
• Investors can monitor for technical pullbacks within the ascending channel to optimize entry.

Long-Term Conviction

• Exposure to one of the global economy’s fastest-growing segments.
• Structural expansion of both government and commercial demand—especially relevant for portfolios seeking high-growth, future-oriented technology exposure.
• Risk/reward profile is enhanced by robust liquidity and long-term revenue visibility from contractual backlog.

In all scenarios, risk management—considering execution timelines, competitive developments, and market volatility—remains prudent, but the balance of probabilities and reward appears increasingly skewed to the upside.

Is it the Right Time to Buy Rocket Lab USA?

In summation, Rocket Lab USA demonstrates a rare confluence of surging topline growth (+32% YoY), standout technical momentum, and a growing addressable market powered by major government and commercial contracts. The imminent debut of the Neutron rocket, robust $1+ billion backlog, and exceptionally strong sector tailwinds all contribute to an investment framework where the stock seems poised for substantial further appreciation.

Bolstered by liquidity, technical support, a catalyst-rich calendar, and an increasingly diversified revenue base, Rocket Lab USA stock stands out as an exceptional opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the next phase of the commercial space revolution. While volatility and execution risk are inherent, the company’s structural advantages and strategic wins position it favorably at the inflection point of sectoral expansion.

For those seeking to participate in the dynamic evolution of space infrastructure—whether as a short-term tactician or a long-term visionary—Rocket Lab USA seems to represent an excellent entry into a sector with transformative global potential as we move into 2025 and beyond.

This is a moment where a well-timed, well-researched positioning in Rocket Lab USA could help investors capture the outsized value creation that defines next-generation technology leaders.

How to buy Rocket Lab USA stock in PH?

Buying Rocket Lab USA (NASDAQ: RKLB) stock online is straightforward and secure when you use a regulated broker operating in the Philippines. You can choose between two main methods: buying the shares directly (spot or “cash” buying), where you own the stocks outright, or trading Contracts for Difference (CFDs), which allow you to speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset. Both methods provide flexibility and access to Rocket Lab’s dynamic share performance. To help you find the best option, a detailed broker comparison is available further down the page.

Cash Buying

A cash or “spot” purchase means you are buying Rocket Lab USA shares outright, becoming a shareholder and gaining exposure to their long-term performance. With most reputable brokers catering to Philippine investors, you pay a fixed commission per transaction—typically ranging from ₱250 to ₱450 (about $5 to $8 USD). For example, if Rocket Lab USA’s share price is $25.42, with a Php 1,000 (≈$18) minimum deposit, but more realistically considering a $1,000 (about ₱57,000) investment:

Example: Cash Buying

With $1,000 (≈₱57,000), minus a flat $5 (₱285) brokerage fee, you can buy approximately 39 shares of Rocket Lab USA ($1,000 - $5 = $995; $995 / $25.42 ≈ 39 shares).

Gain scenario: If Rocket Lab USA rises by 10%, your shares are now worth $1,100 (₱62,700).

Result: That’s a gross gain of $100 (₱5,700), or +10% on your investment.

Trading via CFD

Contracts for Difference (CFDs) let you trade Rocket Lab USA shares without owning them, by speculating on price movements—ideal for short-term strategies. Instead of a fixed commission, CFDs have a “spread” (the broker’s markup on the buy/sell price) and potential overnight financing costs if you hold leveraged positions for more than a day. CFDs also offer leverage—amplifying both gains and losses.

Example: CFD Trading

With $1,000 (₱57,000) and 5x leverage, you control $5,000 (₱285,000) worth of Rocket Lab USA shares via CFDs.

Gain scenario: If the share price climbs 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%.

Result: That’s a $400 (₱22,800) gain on a $1,000 outlay (excluding fees).

Final Advice

Before investing in Rocket Lab USA, carefully compare brokers’ platforms, fees, tradable markets, and support for Philippine investors. Choosing the right method—cash buying for long-term holding or CFDs for leveraged, short-term trades—depends on your objectives and risk profile. Explore our detailed comparison further down the page to find the most suitable broker and get started on your investment journey with confidence.

Our 7 tips for buying Rocket Lab USA stock

The latest news about Rocket Lab USA

Rocket Lab’s Q1 2025 earnings showed 32% year-over-year revenue growth, beating analyst revenue expectations. Rocket Lab USA reported $122.6 million in revenue for the first quarter of 2025, slightly surpassing analyst expectations of $121.38 million and signaling robust operational growth. This continued momentum is reinforced by the company’s successful diversification between launch services and space systems revenue, and it sets a constructive tone for investors and analysts in the Philippines who are seeking exposure to high-growth segments in the global space sector.

Technical indicators for Rocket Lab remain solidly bullish, with price action above major moving averages and a recent golden cross. The stock has demonstrated strong upward momentum, with its current price of $25.42 sitting well above the 200-day moving average of $17.68, and both its 20-day and 50-day moving averages in a bullish orientation. Additionally, the recent golden cross – where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day – is often interpreted as a strong buy signal in technical analysis, a factor that has attracted increased attention from traders and institutional investors, including those monitoring U.S.-listed stocks from the PH.

Rocket Lab recently secured a multi-billion-dollar national security contract with the U.S. Space Force and NASA launch awards. The awarding of a $5.6 billion government contract as part of the U.S. Space Force’s National Security Space Launch (NSSL) program confirms Rocket Lab’s growing reputation as a dependable government partner. Furthermore, being selected to provide launch services under NASA’s VADR contract and winning commercial agreements for its upcoming Neutron rocket not only validate the company’s technology but also provide assurance of future revenue, making the stock increasingly appealing to those tracking opportunities in high-growth, defense-aligned U.S. tech companies.

Successful execution of recent launch missions, including its 65th Electron launch and ongoing contracts, underlines operational strength. Rocket Lab’s completion of its 65th Electron rocket launch and fulfillment of multi-launch contracts, notably its third mission for iQPS and an upcoming series for BlackSky, demonstrate both technical competence and the ability to meet customer timelines. This operational reliability is essential for government, commercial, and international partners—including Philippines-based satellite operators and users seeking high-frequency global launch services—from an agile provider with a proven track record.

Rocket Lab’s strong forward guidance and over $1 billion commercial backlog suggest sustainable growth and fiscal visibility. The company's guidance for Q2 2025, forecasting revenue between $130–140 million and gross margins of 30–32%, underscores management’s confidence in sustained top-line growth. The backlog exceeding $1 billion points to future earnings resilience, a key consideration for PH investors and institutions, given the region’s increasing interest in tech-enabled infrastructure and satellite connectivity. This fiscal transparency complements the company’s upward trajectory and positions it attractively for those seeking medium- to long-term exposure to the burgeoning space economy.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.