Is NIO Stock a Good Buy? 2025 Guide for Filipino Investors

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been tracking the performance of NIO for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users in the Philippines trust us to analyze market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes and do not constitute investment advice. In accordance with our ethical charter, we have never been, and will never be, compensated by NIO.

What is NIO?

How Much Is NIO Stock?

The price of NIO stock is slightly down this week. As of now, NIO trades at $3.49, with a 24-hour change of -0.29% and a weekly move also at -0.29%. Its market capitalization stands at $7.08 billion, and the average daily trading volume over the past three months is 37.53 million shares. The current P/E ratio is not applicable since NIO remains unprofitable, and the stock does not offer a dividend yield. With a beta of 1.68, NIO stock tends to experience higher volatility, offering opportunities for those seeking dynamic market moves.

Our full analysis of the NIO stock

We have reviewed NIO’s latest financial results and analyzed the stock’s trajectory over the past three years, applying our proprietary blend of performance metrics, technical patterns, and market sentiment. Drawing on comparative analysis with sector competitors and the most current macroeconomic data, our methodology aims to identify where superior opportunities for value creation may emerge. So, why might NIO stock once again become a strategic entry point into the global EV sector in 2025?

Recent performance and market context

NIO’s share price currently stands at $3.49, reflecting a modest gain of 5.4% over the last six months while remaining sharply discounted year-on-year, presenting a compelling entry point for value-driven investors. Notably, momentum has picked up in recent quarters, underpinned by impressive delivery figures—over 72,000 vehicles in Q2 2025, and a record 24,925 units delivered in June alone, up 17.5% year-on-year. These operational achievements occur against a backdrop of accelerating electrification trends across Asia and abroad, where the demand for advanced, connected electric mobility continues to grow. NIO’s latest product launches—including the high-profile Firefly compact EVs and new family-centric ONVO models—demonstrate its ability to rapidly iterate and capture emerging customer segments. Favorable policy support in China, ongoing regulatory commitments to carbon neutrality, and a persistent appetite for premium smart EVs enhance the structural foundation of NIO’s sector.

Technical analysis

From a technical perspective, NIO’s current configuration is suggestive of a bottoming pattern with immediate opportunity. The relative strength index (RSI) sits in deeply oversold territory at 28.8, often interpreted by experienced market-watchers as a precursor to a technical rebound. The stock is pressed against strong daily support at $3.44, with upside resistance near $3.51 and long-term reference at $3.62 (200-day moving average). The short-term MACD reveals a mildly negative reading; however, prior price compressions at similar levels have historically led to pronounced relief rallies. With the 50-day moving average aligning closely with spot price around $3.47, any positive catalyst or volume-driven move above resistance could pave the way for a shift in market sentiment. For investors seeking timing precision, here lies a classic “mean reversion” scenario—a market structure ripe for a constructive technical bounce.

Fundamental analysis

NIO’s Q1 2025 revenue came in at RMB 12.03 billion (US$1.66 billion), propelled by robust delivery numbers and sequential launch of new models. While the company remains unprofitable (net loss of US$930 million), operational improvements are visible: the company is expanding gross volume, targeting enhanced scale with leaner cost structures, and narrowing the gap toward break-even. Its quarter-on-quarter delivery growth of 40.1% reflects not only supply chain agility but growing end-market pull, further validated by resilient demand for its recently upgraded ES6, EC6, and ET5 platforms. NIO’s investments in proprietary technologies—battery swap stations, next-gen AI-driven autonomous driving (NIO World Model), and vertical integration of both R&D and manufacturing—constitute decisive structural advantages. The launch of Firefly (premium compact EVs) and ONVO (high-value family EVs) cements NIO’s multi-brand approach, better insulating revenue streams against market cyclicality. Valuation ratios such as P/S remain attractive, while market consensus sees a path toward multiple expansion as operational leverage is realized. NIO’s innovation DNA, brand equity in the smart EV space, and leadership in battery swap infrastructure collectively contribute to a credible, long-term fundamental narrative.

Volume and liquidity

Average daily traded volume on the NYSE remains robust at nearly 38 million shares, revealing ongoing institutional and retail participation—a vital sign of market confidence even during consolidation phases. The sizable free float (1.94 billion shares) ensures ample trading liquidity, encouraging efficient price discovery and rendering NIO a viable vehicle for both tactical trades and longer-term portfolio inclusion. Sustained turnover in the context of recent price stabilization suggests the presence of value-oriented buyers absorbing supply at current levels, further fortifying support zones.

Catalysts and positive outlook

A multitude of upcoming catalysts position NIO at the heart of sector optimism. First, the Firefly compact EV line is expected to tap upper volumes in both China and select European markets, significantly broadening NIO’s addressable customer base. The ONVO expansion, with family-focused models built for mass adoption, aligns with shifting consumer demographics. On the technology front, the imminent deployment of autonomous driving features—supported by proprietary chipset development—positions NIO as a true innovator rather than a follower in the smart EV race. Expansion of battery swap stations (already an industry-leading network) offers operational flexibility to capture recurring service revenues and strengthen ecosystem lock-in. From an ESG perspective, NIO’s intensified focus on clean manufacturing and comprehensive “Battery as a Service” (BaaS) model responds to growing stakeholder demand for sustainability leadership. Cross-border expansion and anticipated partnerships for supply chain localization may further energize both growth and margin improvement. Across the broader economic environment, supportive regulatory frameworks in China—and anticipated EV stimulus activity—add layered upside potential for the brand.

Investment strategies

NIO’s current share price structure and operational momentum offer a variety of pathways for investors at all horizons:

• Short-term: Technical oversold status and reinforced support levels provide a low-risk entry for mean-reversion or “snap-back” trades, especially as upcoming product deliveries and earnings releases could trigger short squeezes or powerful upside gaps.
• Medium-term: As model launches (Firefly, ONVO), increased volume from new-energy vehicles, and roll-out of next-generation autonomous functions come to market, NIO is positioned for re-rating. History shows the stock tends to outperform sector peers during cycles of technology refresh and regulatory tailwinds.
• Long-term: NIO’s structural commitment to innovation, battery swap leadership, and successful market segmentation suggest an intrinsic growth story that may justify a premium valuation over time. For investors with a 2–5 year view, current prices seem to represent an excellent opportunity to participate in the accelerating electrification of transport in Asia and beyond.

Ideal positioning would target accumulation near $3.44–$3.51—a strategic technical base—while pyramiding exposure ahead of major model updates, battery swap infrastructure announcements, or regulatory inflection points.

Is it the right time to buy NIO?

Given NIO’s strong operational performance, sector leadership in EV technology, and a technical profile marking the end of a persistent downtrend, the stock may be entering a new bullish phase. The combination of deep market liquidity, a broad innovation pipeline, attractive valuation metrics, and positive sector momentum creates a foundation of confidence for prospective buyers. While volatility should not be ignored, the fundamentals justify renewed interest at current levels, and the risk-reward calculus appears increasingly favorable for bold, well-informed investors.

NIO’s unique position at the intersection of cutting-edge EV technology, agile product development, and a vast addressable market reinforces its appeal for both strategic and tactical investors. The convergence of technical, fundamental, and macro drivers suggests that NIO may well represent a standout opportunity on the cusp of its next growth cycle—one that serious investors in the Philippines and beyond should not overlook.

How to buy NIO stock in the Philippines?

Buying NIO stock online is both simple and secure when using a regulated broker. Investors in the Philippines can access the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and buy either NIO stock directly (spot buying) or opt for leveraged products like CFDs (Contracts for Difference), depending on their investment goals. Spot buying means you directly own the shares, while CFDs allow you to speculate on price movements with leverage. Whichever method you choose, always ensure you’re using a legitimate broker for safety and transparency—and don’t forget, you’ll find a detailed broker comparison further down this page.

Spot buying

A cash (spot) purchase of NIO stock means you buy real company shares listed on the NYSE and hold them in your brokerage account to benefit from any price appreciation or dividends (when available). Most brokers charge a fixed commission per transaction—typically around PHP 250–300, or about $5 per order.

Gain scenario:

If the NIO share price is $3.49 USD, you can buy around 285 shares with a $1,000 stake, including a brokerage fee of around $5.

If the share price rises by 10%, your shares are now worth $1,100.

Result: +$100 gross gain, or a 10% return on your investment.

Trading via CFD

CFD trading on NIO allows you to speculate on the share price up or down, without actually owning the stock. It’s flexible and lets you use leverage—commonly up to 5 times your initial capital—but watch out for the spread (difference between buy/sell prices) and overnight financing fees if you hold positions longer than a day.

Gain scenario

You open a CFD position on NIO shares, with 5x leverage.

This gives you a market exposure of $5,000.

If the stock rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%.

Result: +$400 gain, on a bet of $1,000 (excluding fees).

Final advice

Before investing, always compare brokers’ fees, commissions, and additional conditions, as these factors will impact your returns. Your choice between spot buying and CFD trading should fit your financial objectives and level of risk tolerance. Use the broker comparison table further down this page to help make the best decision for your needs.

Our 7 tips for buying NIO stock

The latest news about NIO

NIO reported delivery of 24,925 vehicles in June 2025, marking a 17.5% year-on-year increase. This performance signals the company’s continued capacity to grow volumes in its core Asian markets, supporting optimism in their regional strategy and reflecting potential for future expansion into new Asia-Pacific hubs, including those that may benefit the Philippines as EV adoption grows.

The launch of the Firefly brand positions NIO for broader market reach in compact premium electric vehicles. Introduced in April 2025, Firefly aims to address younger and urban consumers, a demographic increasingly relevant in Southeast Asian urban centers like Metro Manila, and highlights NIO’s ambition to drive electrification across new customer segments.

NIO unveiled updated models ES6, EC6, ET5, and ET5T, featuring enhanced technology and efficiency. With these launches in May 2025, NIO strengthens its portfolio, emphasizing safety and connectivity—attributes that resonate with tech-driven markets in Southeast Asia and create downstream opportunities for local distributors and service partners.

NIO’s battery swap technology and integrated services ecosystem continues to set the company apart in Asia. The scaling of these innovations provides potential distribution and after-sales models for local partners in the Philippines, aligning with national policy interests in sustainable transportation and smart mobility infrastructure.

Consensus analyst price target for NIO remains positive at $4.90, suggesting upside from current levels. Professional analysts maintain a constructive stance, reflecting confidence in NIO’s growth model, strengthened product line, and ongoing innovation—factors that have strategic significance for investors and stakeholders in the Philippine market.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.