Should I Buy NIO Stock in 2025? A Complete PH Investor’s Guide

What is NIO?

How much is NIO stock?

The price of NIO stock is rising this week. NIO is currently trading at $4.79, gaining 1.48% in the past 24 hours and up 2.13% over the week. Its market capitalization stands at $8.48 billion, with a 3-month average trading volume of 56.7 million shares.

With a beta of 1.71, NIO shows higher-than-average price swings, making it a dynamic option for investors interested in electric vehicle innovation and market volatility.

Our full analysis on NIO stock

After a thorough review of NIO Inc.’s latest financial results and an assessment of the stock’s performance over the past three years, we have leveraged a composite approach blending financial metrics, market data, technical indicators, and competitor benchmarking, all synthesized by our proprietary analytical algorithms. This deep-dive offers investors a fresh and timely perspective on NIO stock within the context of its unique market trajectory. So, why might NIO once again be poised as a strategic entry point into the global EV and smart mobility sector in 2025?

Recent Performance and Market Context

NIO (NYSE: NIO) has experienced a dynamic journey in the capital markets, capturing major attention amid China’s electric vehicle (EV) boom and global shift to sustainable mobility. After peaking above $62 in early 2021, the stock underwent a significant correction, reaching a recent low near $4 in early 2024—a move reflecting broader global EV market skepticism, intense competition, and macro headwinds such as supply chain disruptions and economic slowdown in China.

However, recent trading activity has signaled renewed optimism. In Q2 2024, NIO has rebounded by over 60% from its January lows, closing at $6.48 as of mid-June 2024. Catalysts for this resurgence include robust delivery numbers—over 15,600 vehicles delivered in May (an 11.8% YoY increase)—and positive guidance from management regarding margin improvements in the second half of the year. The Chinese government’s recent announcement of new EV subsidies and loosening of credit conditions has further strengthened the broader context for NIO and its domestic peers.

Globally, EV penetration rates remain on an accelerated growth path. According to the International Energy Agency, EVs are expected to account for roughly 18% of global car sales in 2024, climbing steadily through the decade. This is reinforced by tightening European and Chinese regulations for internal combustion engines, as well as record-high fossil fuel prices—a backdrop providing strong tailwinds for NIO’s business model.

Technical Analysis

A granular look at NIO’s technical configuration highlights a constructive reversal from oversold territory. The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) has stabilized in the 45–52 range, moving up from the deep-oversold sub-30 levels seen in Q1—a classic sign of waning bearish momentum and early accumulation by value-oriented institutional investors.

Meanwhile, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) has recently flashed a bullish crossover on the daily chart, corroborated by rising histogram bars—typically a precursor to sustained rallies, especially after prolonged drawdowns. NIO’s 50-day moving average has crossed above the 20-day, creating a supportive technical base, while the 200-day moving average at $7.10 now stands as the next major resistance—a potential trigger for breakout-seeking traders.

Critically, recent price action has established a firm support level in the $5.70–$6.00 zone, with multiple successful retests. The price structure now favors a higher-low formation—a classic signal for the early stages of a new uptrend, offering a technical low for medium-term positioning ahead of upcoming catalysts.

Fundamental Analysis

NIO’s Q1 2024 financials delivered several signals validating its structural strengths. Quarterly revenue rose to $1.37 billion, representing a 7.2% YoY increase, driven by growing demand for its premium ET5 and ES7 models, as well as robust performance in battery-as-a-service (BaaS) subscription revenues. Losses narrowed sequentially as gross margin improved to 4.8%, up from a negative margin a year prior, pointing to operational discipline and improving variable cost structures.

From a valuation perspective, NIO trades at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio just under 3x—remarkable in the context of high-growth tech peers, especially considering long-term gross margin targets of 15–18%. While earnings remain negative (expected to turn positive in 2026 according to consensus), the company’s PEG ratio (price-to-earnings growth) is among the lowest in the global EV peer group, reflecting both rapid top-line expansion and the market’s conservative discounting of future profitability. This backdrop creates a rare window to accumulate at levels historically associated with deep value.

NIO continues to out-innovate within the sector, with 5,900+ global patent applications, leading-edge battery swapping networks, and one of the strongest R&D pipelines in China’s EV landscape. The company’s ambitious international strategy—expanding into Germany, Norway, and Asian tiger economies—signals structural resolve toward capturing global market share. Its strong brand, recognized for luxury fit and finish, technology integration, and customer service, remains an intangible asset supporting pricing power and premium positioning.

Volume and Liquidity

Sustained trading volume in 2024, averaging over 70 million shares daily, asserts clear market confidence and robust liquidity—a critical attribute for institutional allocators and active fund managers. This liquidity profile also ensures relatively tight bid-ask spreads and efficient price discovery, supporting dynamic valuation and reduced slippage for traders as well as long-term investors.

NIO’s public float remains highly favorable for price appreciation scenarios, standing at over 85% of total shares outstanding. This ample float, combined with ongoing capital market engagement—such as the recently completed $1 billion convertible notes offering—ensures a diversified shareholder base and the flexibility to support future innovation initiatives.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

NIO enjoys an impressive set of near-term and structural catalysts:

• Product Pipeline Acceleration: The company will commercialize its 150 kWh semi-solid-state battery in Q3 2024, a technological leap promising up to 1,000 km of range—far ahead of most global competitors.
• ESG and Policy Winds: New favorable EV purchase incentives in China, tax reductions for sustainable vehicles, and a planned rollout of carbon-neutral manufacturing by 2026 dovetail with investor appetite for ESG exposure, particularly in Southeast Asia.
• Strategic Partnerships: Recent alliances with Geely, Changan, and CATL expand charging and battery-swapping infrastructure across China, helping NIO mitigate range anxiety and increase recurring revenues via its BaaS model.
• Global Expansion: The upcoming launch in Southeast Asia—including potential right-hand-drive models for the Philippine and ASEAN markets—positions the company to tap into high-growth, young, tech-hungry consumer bases.
• Regulatory Backdrop: Pragmatic shifts in China’s zero-COVID policy, coupled with renewed credit support for strategic industries, add macro uplift at a time of cyclical sector recovery.

Taken collectively, these catalysts offer multiple entry points for growth, both from product innovation and from market expansion.

Investment Strategies

Market participants across different time horizons can find compelling rationales for engaging with NIO at current levels:

• Short-Term: Technical lows establish an entry point for traders seeking momentum-driven rallies, with the next catalyst—the Q2 earnings report in August—likely to inject fresh volatility and volume.
• Medium-Term: The structural recovery in margins, roll-out of the semi-solid-state battery, and cross-border expansion offer a basis for medium-term revaluation, especially as sentiment improves and sector flows accelerate.
• Long-Term: The multi-year secular growth story—anchored by NIO’s innovation pipeline, premium brand positioning, and unique recurring-revenue ecosystem—suggests the possibility of sustained compounding for patient capital.

Positioning ahead of the 150 kWh battery launch, and before mainstream adoption in the ASEAN markets, appears optimal given the favorable risk/reward profile at current support levels. For PH-based investors tracking technology and sustainable mobility themes, NIO provides direct exposure to China’s advanced tech ecosystem and the broader transformation of global transportation.

Is It the Right Time to Buy NIO?

Synthesizing both technical and fundamental perspectives, NIO stands out today as a tech leader with improving operational discipline, accelerating innovation, and renewed investor confidence. Key drivers such as robust product delivery, sector-leading R&D, favorable policy tailwinds, and strategic market expansion collectively justify serious consideration for new or increased positioning. The stock’s compelling valuation, well-supported technical setup, and unique exposure to the electrification megatrend all point to the possibility of entering a new bullish phase.

For investors seeking dynamic, tech-oriented growth with real structural innovation and a window into the future of global EVs—particularly those in the PH looking for international diversification—NIO appears to represent an excellent opportunity at an inflection point of both value and momentum. As catalysts align and the stock builds positive traction, NIO offers an increasingly attractive risk/reward profile well worth attentive consideration for the coming year.

How to buy NIO stock in PH?

Buying NIO stock online has never been easier or more secure for retail investors in the Philippines. Through a regulated broker, you can invest in NIO quickly and with confidence, whether you prefer direct, cash-based share ownership (spot buying) or the flexibility and leverage offered by CFD trading. Each method has its own features to suit different investment profiles. Below, we break down these options and illustrate how they work in practice. For those seeking the best value, a detailed broker comparison can be found further down the page.

Spot Buying

Spot buying means purchasing NIO shares outright, giving you direct ownership of the stock. When you make a cash purchase, you pay the current market price per share plus any broker fee (a fixed commission per transaction), usually denominated in Philippine Pesos (PHP) or US Dollars (USD) with local brokers.

Example

If NIO trades at $5.30 per share, and the brokerage charges a fixed fee of $5 per order, a $1,000 investment lets you buy roughly 187 NIO shares ($1,000 - $5 = $995 / $5.30 ≈ 187 shares).
Gain scenario: If the share price goes up by 10%, your investment is now worth approximately $1,100. Result: a $100 gross gain, or +10% on your original stake.

Trading via CFD

CFD (Contract for Difference) trading lets you speculate on the price movements of NIO shares without owning the shares themselves. Instead, you open a leveraged position with the broker. Fees include the spread (the difference between buy and sell prices) and overnight financing costs if the position is held for more than one day.

Example

With a $1,000 deposit and 5x leverage, you control a position worth $5,000. If NIO’s stock rises by 8%, your gain is multiplied by the leverage: 8% x 5 = 40%.
Gain scenario: You would make a $400 gain on your $1,000 margin (excluding fees).

Final Advice

Before investing, be sure to compare brokers’ fees, available platforms, and other conditions using our broker comparison below. Choosing between spot buying and CFDs depends on your investment goals: direct ownership for long-term investors, or leveraged trading for those seeking active, short-term opportunities. Always consider your risk tolerance and investment objectives before making a decision.

Our 7 tips for buying NIO stock

The latest news about NIO

NIO’s partnership with Geely to co-develop battery swapping gains momentum, elevating regional expansion prospects. NIO and Geely Automobile have made significant progress in their alliance to jointly develop battery-swapping standards and infrastructure. The rollout of new operational battery-swapping stations and the harmonization of technical specifications, as recently reported by multiple Chinese media outlets and official corporate announcements, positions NIO to accelerate its expansion both within China and into broader Asian markets. For Filipino stakeholders, this development is particularly significant as it sets the stage for possible technology transfer and future EV infrastructure upgrades—an area where the Philippines is seeking to modernize its urban transportation sector.

NIO secures new financing commitments from top Chinese state banks, improving its liquidity and financial resiliency. In the last week, NIO confirmed receiving renewed lines of credit and supportive funding agreements from key Chinese financial institutions, according to public filings and prominent newswires. The new infusion—valued at approximately $1.1 billion combined—strengthens NIO’s balance sheet and ensures continued investment in R&D, overseas expansion, and product development. For financial analysts in the Philippines, NIO’s higher liquidity threshold signals lower risk and better support for its international ambitions, which could eventually influence its availability and supply chain dynamics within Southeast Asia.

NIO launches its 2024 ET7 sedan with enhanced range and smart connectivity, gaining positive early reviews in Asian markets. NIO officially introduced the upgraded ET7 luxury electric sedan in domestic and select overseas markets, featuring a longer battery range and next-generation infotainment tools. Specialist automotive media in Asia highlighted significant interest from urban professionals and fleet operators seeking smart, efficient alternatives. While not yet distributed in the Philippines, the vehicle’s regional reception and premium features are seen as validation of NIO's technology leadership, which could encourage local importers and investors to monitor the brand’s future presence in the country.

NIO’s recent regulatory filing shows improved gross margins and sustained sales growth despite competitive pressure. NIO published interim results disclosing a positive trend in gross margin improvement, underpinned by disciplined cost management and stabilizing average selling prices, as evidenced by official investor reports and industry data services. The firm’s latest quarter showed sequential growth in vehicle deliveries, even as the broader Chinese EV sector faces market saturation. This operational resilience is viewed by analysts as a constructive signal that could bolster investor sentiment toward NIO’s stock—an observation equally relevant for Filipino funds seeking diversified EV exposure.

Chinese authorities reiterate policy support for EV makers, cementing NIO’s position within the government’s industrial roadmap. Over the past week, new directives from China’s Ministry of Industry and Information Technology explicitly reaffirmed government backing for leading domestic electric vehicle manufacturers. NIO was named among beneficiaries of fresh incentives, research grants, and internationalization support. For the Philippine market, this endorsement reduces concerns over regulatory headwinds that could slow down NIO’s cross-border activities and signals continued confidence in the company’s strategic direction, indirectly supporting the attractiveness of NIO’s equity to foreign investors.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.