Is ACEN Stock a Smart Buy for Filipinos in 2025?
Is it the right time to buy ACEN?
ACEN Corporation stands as a cornerstone of the Philippine energy transition, attracting significant investor attention. Currently trading around ₱2.62 with a robust average daily volume exceeding 14 million shares, the stock shows resilience despite recent market pressures. While first-quarter results were impacted by temporary factors, including typhoon effects on key wind farms and lower spot market prices, the market's forward-looking sentiment remains constructive. This is largely fueled by major strategic initiatives, such as a landmark partnership to develop the country's first large-scale offshore wind project and a venture to supply renewable energy to the booming data center industry. These catalysts underscore ACEN's long-term vision and its pivotal role in the region’s green energy sector. Against this backdrop of strategic expansion, a consensus among more than 5 national and international banks has established a price target of ₱3.41, signaling strong confidence in the company's growth trajectory.
- ✅Ambitious 20 GW renewable capacity target by 2030.
- ✅Pioneering large-scale offshore wind project partnership.
- ✅Strong international portfolio growth in strategic markets.
- ✅Strategic entry into high-growth data center energy sector.
- ✅Strong backing and strategic leadership from the Ayala Group.
- ❌Operational assets are exposed to local climate and typhoon risks.
- ❌Earnings can be sensitive to wholesale electricity market price volatility.
- ✅Ambitious 20 GW renewable capacity target by 2030.
- ✅Pioneering large-scale offshore wind project partnership.
- ✅Strong international portfolio growth in strategic markets.
- ✅Strategic entry into high-growth data center energy sector.
- ✅Strong backing and strategic leadership from the Ayala Group.
Is it the right time to buy ACEN?
- ✅Ambitious 20 GW renewable capacity target by 2030.
- ✅Pioneering large-scale offshore wind project partnership.
- ✅Strong international portfolio growth in strategic markets.
- ✅Strategic entry into high-growth data center energy sector.
- ✅Strong backing and strategic leadership from the Ayala Group.
- ❌Operational assets are exposed to local climate and typhoon risks.
- ❌Earnings can be sensitive to wholesale electricity market price volatility.
- ✅Ambitious 20 GW renewable capacity target by 2030.
- ✅Pioneering large-scale offshore wind project partnership.
- ✅Strong international portfolio growth in strategic markets.
- ✅Strategic entry into high-growth data center energy sector.
- ✅Strong backing and strategic leadership from the Ayala Group.
- What is ACEN?
- How much is ACEN stock?
- Our full analysis of the ACEN stock
- How to buy ACEN stock in the Philippines?
- Our 7 tips for buying ACEN stock
- The latest news about ACEN
- FAQ
- On the same topic
Why trust HelloSafe ?
At HelloSafe, our experts have been tracking the performance of ACEN for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users in the Philippines trust us to analyze market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. In accordance with our ethical charter, we have never been, and will never be, compensated by ACEN.
What is ACEN?
Indicator | Value | Analysis |
---|---|---|
🏳️ Nationality | Philippines | ACEN is a leading renewable energy company based in the PH. |
💼 Market | Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE) | ACEN is traded under the ticker “ACEN” on the local exchange. |
🏛️ ISIN code | PHY1001H1024 | This is ACEN’s unique share identifier for global investors. |
👤 CEO | John Eric Francia | Francia has led ACEN since 2019, driving expansion and growth. |
🏢 Market cap | ₱103.95 billion | Reflects ACEN’s strong market position in clean energy. |
📈 Revenue | ₱7.77 billion (Q1 2025) | Revenue declined this quarter due to weather and price impacts. |
💹 EBITDA | ₱3.36 billion (Q1 2025 est.) | EBITDA remains stable, showing resilience amid sector challenges. |
📊 P/E Ratio (Price/Earnings) | 15.60 | The ratio is attractive, suggesting fair value for investors. |
How much is ACEN stock?
The price of ACEN stock is rising this week. As of now, ACEN trades at ₱2.62 per share, showing a 24-hour gain of ₱0.02 (+0.77%) and a weekly increase of 2.75%. The company has a market capitalization of ₱103.95 billion, with an average trading volume of 14.16 million shares over the last three months. ACEN’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 15.60, its dividend yield is 1.91%, and its beta is 0.81, indicating lower volatility than the overall market. These figures highlight ACEN’s stability and its appeal in the growing Philippine renewables sector.
Our full analysis of the ACEN stock
After carefully reviewing ACEN’s latest financial results and analyzing its stock performance over the last three years, we have integrated multiple layers of financial, technical, and market data—including competitor benchmarking—through our proprietary algorithms. Our synthesis brings together up-to-date valuation ratios, technical momentum, recent sector events, and the company’s evolving positioning. So, why might ACEN stock once again become a strategic entry point into the dynamic Philippine renewable energy sector in 2025?
Recent performance and market context
ACEN’s price trajectory has stabilized in recent weeks after an extended correction, currently settling at ₱2.62 per share with a moderate weekly gain of +2.75%. While the year-to-date and twelve-month performance both show significant declines, this reflects a broader realignment from previously overheated valuations and cyclical pressures across the renewables sector. Recent months have seen ACEN benefit from renewed investor optimism following the announcement of transformative partnerships and a strong commitment to scaling green infrastructure. Notably, its strategic alliance with Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners for the Philippines’ first large-scale offshore wind farm signals both sector leadership and forward momentum.
The Philippine market context remains highly favorable for energy transition leaders. National targets for renewables expansion, ongoing regulatory support, and robust energy demand all create a fertile backdrop for ACEN’s medium- and long-term growth strategy. This upward context, combined with opportunities arising from rapid electrification and digital transformation in Southeast Asia, positions ACEN for significant potential re-rating as sector sentiment improves.
Technical analysis
Technical signals offer a compelling case for renewed optimism. ACEN’s 14-day RSI rests at 54.66—firmly in neutral territory and poised to support further upside, especially following a series of bullish crossovers on key short- and medium-term moving averages. The stock now trades above its 20-, 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages (with MA20 at ₱2.57 and MA200 at ₱2.55), indicating strong trend support and a near-term buy bias.
MACD is marginally positive (0.01), reflecting building momentum without signaling over-extension. Stochastic values remain elevated but not oversold, suggesting there is still room for bullish continuation. The primary support sits at ₱2.39—its recent 52-week low—while initial resistance is observed at the ₱2.70–₱2.80 band. Recent trading patterns suggest the stock is consolidating at technical lows, a zone historically associated with attractive risk/reward set-ups, especially ahead of major catalysts.
Fundamental analysis
On the fundamentals, ACEN stands out for its diversified portfolio, sector-leading innovation, and resilient operational profile. Despite a short-term dip in Q1 2025 due to force majeure from typhoons and a softer spot market, the company remains structurally sound. Quarterly revenues came in at ₱7.77 billion, with a net income of ₱1.95 billion—temporarily down from the prior year, but underpinned by robust core assets and global diversification.
ACEN’s Price/Earnings ratio of 15.60 appears justified given its leadership position, consistent dividend payout (yielding 1.91%), and active pipeline of new capacity. More importantly, the stock’s PEG and Price/Sales ratios remain reasonable in light of its ambitious growth ambitions—a compounded annual growth rate expected near 9% over the next five years. The company’s strategic roadmap projects a leap to 20 GW of renewables capacity by 2030, ensuring sustained revenue and earnings expansion well ahead of local peers.
Structural strengths—namely, the backing of the Ayala Group, best-in-class execution in solar and wind, geographic diversification (Philippines, Australia, Southeast Asia, and the US), and a strong brand as a renewable innovator—all reinforce its dominant market share and formidable barriers to entry for competitors.
Volume and liquidity
One of ACEN’s strengths lies in its enduring market liquidity: average three-month volume stands at 14.16 million shares, a notable figure that encourages both retail and institutional participation and ensures tight bid-ask spreads. With a public float of 9.7 billion shares from a total of 39.68 billion—roughly 25%—ACEN’s share structure is highly favorable to dynamic valuation recalibration and investor engagement. This depth of liquidity signals confidence in the company’s strategic vision and enables flexibility for investors with varying timeframes.
Sustained volume also typically precedes major price reversals, and ACEN’s most recent uptick in trading activity coincides with rising interest in renewables and upgrades from several domestic brokerage houses. This pattern strengthens the argument that the stock is primed for a new phase of positive momentum.
Catalysts and positive outlook
Several bullish catalysts are converging for ACEN. The partnership with Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners not only affirms ACEN’s position as a renewable pioneer but also introduces the Philippines to large-scale offshore wind, opening a new frontier whose addressable market is likely to expand exponentially. Additional growth stems from ongoing construction projects: the company manages 3.6 GW of operational assets with another 2.6 GW under construction and a clear trajectory toward achieving its 20 GW target by 2030.
Other recent catalysts include the adoption of data center partnerships (with Ayala Corp. and ST Telemedia Global Data Centres) broadening its role in energy supply for the next-generation digital economy; the continued build-out of international assets, particularly across Southeast Asia; and significant strides in energy storage and battery integration—essential foundations for a resilient renewables infrastructure.
ACEN’s Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) profile further distinguishes it, as its strong governance, innovation in green finance, and commitment to decarbonization attract ESG-focused funds and long-term capital. Sector trends—favorable regulation, surging demand for clean power, and broader electrification—align strongly with ACEN’s portfolio, amplifying its outlook.
Investment strategies
- Short-term: Recent technical lows and increasing volume offer an opportunity for nimble entries with tight risk controls, as a break above immediate resistance levels (₱2.70–₱2.80) could trigger a swift follow-through to higher bands.
- Medium-term: For position traders, holding through the next set of financial reports and construction milestones offers exposure to fundamental catalysts—especially as consensus upside targets reach ₱3.41–₱3.48.
- Long-term: The most compelling thesis rests here, with ACEN’s scale-up toward 20 GW, robust sectoral tailwinds, diversified project base, and steady dividend payout making it a high-conviction “renewables core holding” for Philippine equity portfolios.
Entry at current levels is advantageous given the technical and valuation base, offering a rare alignment of sectoral momentum, operational maturity, and discounted pricing following last year’s correction.
Is it the right time to buy ACEN?
With its established leadership, accelerating project pipeline, strong liquidity profile, and major new growth catalysts—including landmark offshore wind development—ACEN seems to represent an excellent opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the future of energy in the Philippines and beyond. The stock’s current valuation—reinforced by supportive technicals, a positive market environment, and visible long-term demand for clean power—justifies renewed interest from both value- and growth-oriented investors.
In summary, the convergence of technical, fundamental, and macroeconomic factors points toward a new bullish phase for ACEN. While risks remain, as in all growth sectors, the sheer magnitude of its pipeline, partnerships, and market standing puts ACEN at the forefront of the country’s renewable revolution. The stock’s potential for re-rating is real, and the stage appears set for ACEN to deliver sustained returns as the nation’s premier green growth story.
For those seeking positioning ahead of the next wave in renewable energy, ACEN offers a compelling case as both an anchor and a growth lever in any Philippine equity portfolio.
How to buy ACEN stock in the Philippines?
Buying ACEN stock online is straightforward and secure when using a regulated broker, whether you’re in Metro Manila or any part of the Philippines. Investors can choose between two main methods: spot (cash) buying, where you own the shares directly, or CFD trading, which lets you speculate on short-term price movements with leverage. Both options are easily accessible online, offering flexibility for new and seasoned investors alike. Make sure to check our broker comparison further down the page to select the platform that best suits your investing style and goals.
Spot buying
Spot (cash) buying means purchasing actual ACEN shares, making you a direct shareholder in the company. Most Philippine brokers charge a fixed commission per order, typically ₱20 to ₱50, no matter the amount invested.
ACEN Share Investment: Gain Scenario Example
If the ACEN share price is ₱2.62, you can buy around 380 shares with a $1,000 (about ₱58,000) stake, including a brokerage fee of around $5 (₱290).
✔️ Gain scenario: If the share price rises by 10%, your shares are now worth ₱62,700 ($1,100).
Result: +$100 gross gain, i.e. +10% on your investment.
Trading via CFD
CFD trading on ACEN enables you to profit from price movements without owning the underlying shares. Fees include the spread (the difference between buying and selling prices) and, if you hold positions overnight, daily financing charges.
Gain scenario
You open a CFD position on ACEN shares, with 5x leverage. This gives you a market exposure of $5,000.
If the stock rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%.
Result: +$400 gain, on a bet of $1,000 (excluding fees).
Final advice
Always compare brokers’ commission fees, platform tools, and local support before investing in ACEN shares or trading via CFDs. The best method depends on your investment objectives—whether you prefer owning shares for the long term or seeking dynamic short-term returns with leverage. Our broker comparison further down the page will guide your decision with up-to-date information.
Compare the best brokers in the Philippines!Compare brokersOur 7 tips for buying ACEN stock
📊 Step | 📝 Specific tip for ACEN |
---|---|
Analyze the market | Study trends in renewable energy and government policies promoting clean power for ACEN’s long-term growth. |
Choose the right trading platform | Use a credible PH-based broker that offers PSE access and reasonable trading fees to invest in ACEN seamlessly. |
Define your investment budget | Allocate only a portion of your portfolio to ACEN and diversify with other defensive or growth stocks. |
Choose a strategy (short or long term) | Consider a long-term strategy to capture ACEN’s projected growth in renewables and international expansion. |
Monitor news and financial results | Follow ACEN’s quarterly earnings, project launches, and sector updates, as these may move the share price. |
Use risk management tools | Set stop-loss orders and alerts to manage your risk, especially during high market volatility or weather events. |
Sell at the right time | Look to sell when ACEN approaches resistance levels or after substantial positive news from the renewable sector. |
The latest news about ACEN
ACEN stock shows short-term recovery with a 0.77% intraday gain and a 2.75% rise over the week. Trading currently at ₱2.62 per share, ACEN has outperformed its near-term benchmarks, supported by sustained investor interest in renewable energy companies on the Philippine Stock Exchange. This positive price action is particularly significant given the stock’s 42.79% decline over the past year, signaling an emerging reversal and renewed market confidence.
Strategic partnerships in May 2025 position ACEN for future growth in renewable energy infrastructure. The company formalized a partnership with Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners to develop the Philippines’ first large-scale 1 GW offshore wind project in San Miguel Bay. Concurrently, ACEN entered a joint venture with Ayala Corp. and ST Telemedia Global Data Centres to provide green energy solutions for the country’s rapidly-expanding data center sector. Both moves highlight ACEN’s leadership and long-term prospects in the local and regional transition to clean energy.
Technical indicators turn bullish with most moving averages flashing buy signals for ACEN. On July 9, 2025, both short- and medium-term averages (20, 50, 100, and 200 days) were positioned below the current price, while the MACD and RSI indicators show a neutral-to-optimistic bias. This technical structure supports the view of continued recovery—especially relevant for investors in the Philippines seeking strategic entry points as the sector rebounds.
Robust liquidity and market capitalization underscore ongoing investor confidence in ACEN’s growth story. With a market cap of ₱103.95 billion and a three-month daily average trading volume of 14.16 million shares, ACEN maintains one of the most active trading footprints among PSE renewable stocks. This ensures smooth execution for institutional and retail investors, and reflects a resilient base of local market participants.
Analyst consensus in July 2025 indicates a bullish potential, with a target price nearly 33% above current levels. The most recent research puts the analyst target for ACEN at ₱3.48, projecting strong upside on the back of its expanding renewable portfolio and partnerships. The market’s neutral-to-optimistic sentiment, supported by medium-term earnings growth forecasts and ACEN’s central role in the Philippines’ clean energy agenda, continues to support a favorable outlook for the stock.
FAQ
What is the latest dividend for ACEN stock?
ACEN currently pays an annual dividend of ₱0.05 per share, providing a yield of about 1.91% based on recent prices. The most recent dividend payout followed the company’s regular distribution policy, historically issuing cash dividends once per year. ACEN’s track record shows consistent, though modest, dividend payments, supporting investors who seek both growth and income from the renewable energy sector.
What is the forecast for ACEN stock in 2025, 2026, and 2027?
Based on the current price of ₱2.62, the forecasted values are ₱3.41 by end-2025, ₱3.93 for 2026, and ₱5.24 for 2027. ACEN’s expansion in wind, solar, and international projects, together with a positive sector outlook and an “Outperform” consensus from analysts, supports these growth expectations. The company’s plans for a large-scale offshore wind project and strategic partnerships add confidence to its potential.
Should I sell my ACEN shares?
Holding on to ACEN shares may be a smart approach for investors seeking long-term participation in the clean energy transition. The stock’s current valuation, combined with its growing renewable capacity and strong market position within the Ayala group, enhance its appeal. ACEN’s geographic diversification and scalable pipeline offer resilience and upside, indicating that retaining shares could fit a forward-looking investment strategy.
How are gains and dividends from ACEN stock taxed in the Philippines?
For Filipino investors, both dividends and capital gains from ACEN are subject to local tax rules. Dividends are typically subject to a 10% final withholding tax, while capital gains on listed stocks are taxed at a standard rate of 0.6% of the gross selling price. ACEN is fully eligible for Philippine brokerage and tax regimes, making reporting and compliance simple for resident investors.
What is the latest dividend for ACEN stock?
ACEN currently pays an annual dividend of ₱0.05 per share, providing a yield of about 1.91% based on recent prices. The most recent dividend payout followed the company’s regular distribution policy, historically issuing cash dividends once per year. ACEN’s track record shows consistent, though modest, dividend payments, supporting investors who seek both growth and income from the renewable energy sector.
What is the forecast for ACEN stock in 2025, 2026, and 2027?
Based on the current price of ₱2.62, the forecasted values are ₱3.41 by end-2025, ₱3.93 for 2026, and ₱5.24 for 2027. ACEN’s expansion in wind, solar, and international projects, together with a positive sector outlook and an “Outperform” consensus from analysts, supports these growth expectations. The company’s plans for a large-scale offshore wind project and strategic partnerships add confidence to its potential.
Should I sell my ACEN shares?
Holding on to ACEN shares may be a smart approach for investors seeking long-term participation in the clean energy transition. The stock’s current valuation, combined with its growing renewable capacity and strong market position within the Ayala group, enhance its appeal. ACEN’s geographic diversification and scalable pipeline offer resilience and upside, indicating that retaining shares could fit a forward-looking investment strategy.
How are gains and dividends from ACEN stock taxed in the Philippines?
For Filipino investors, both dividends and capital gains from ACEN are subject to local tax rules. Dividends are typically subject to a 10% final withholding tax, while capital gains on listed stocks are taxed at a standard rate of 0.6% of the gross selling price. ACEN is fully eligible for Philippine brokerage and tax regimes, making reporting and compliance simple for resident investors.