Should I buy Coinbase stock in 2025?

What is Coinbase?

How much is Coinbase stock?

The price of Coinbase stock is falling this week. As of now, COIN is trading at $263.16, reflecting a 24-hour decrease of $8.79 (-3.23%) and a weekly decline of 1.24%.

A high beta of 3.62 points to notable price swings versus the overall market.

Potential investors in the Philippines should be mindful of Coinbase’s higher volatility and the opportunities—and risks—it brings.

Our full analysis on Coinbase stock

Having reviewed Coinbase’s latest financial results and closely examined its stock performance over the past three years, our analysis leverages a comprehensive set of proprietary algorithms integrating financial metrics, technical signals, market data, and peer comparisons. The findings highlight a robust narrative evolving for Coinbase within the global fintech and crypto-infrastructure landscape—one now commanding increasing attention as the sector matures. So, why might Coinbase stock once again become a strategic entry point into the digital asset ecosystem in 2025?

Recent Performance and Market Context

Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN) has exhibited a compelling recovery, trading at $263.16 as of May 27, 2025, delivering an impressive 25.5% return in the past month and a robust 10.7% gain over the past year. While near-term volatility can be seen in the daily (-3.23%) and weekly (-1.24%) moves—reflecting the sector’s headline sensitivity—the broader trajectory underscores growing investor conviction. Coinbase’s market capitalization now stands at $67.03 billion, underscoring its recognition as the bellwether for the institutionalization of digital assets.

Several favorable macro tailwinds are now converging:

• Regulatory Clarity: Leading economies are advancing clearer frameworks for crypto trading and custody, bolstering institutional confidence.
• Crypto Sector Resilience: Despite periodic corrections, aggregate digital asset adoption and trading volumes are rebounding to pre-2022 levels.
• ETF Momentum: The recent launch and surging demand for spot Bitcoin ETFs are catalyzing fresh flows and deepening liquidity, benefitting platforms such as Coinbase with their top-tier market infrastructure.

A look at trading volumes amplifies this picture: over the past 10 days, Coinbase saw a surge to 22.86 million average shares traded daily, nearly double its three-month average—suggesting renewed market enthusiasm and a developing phase of re-rating.

Technical Analysis

Technically, Coinbase’s setup continues to demonstrate underlying bullishness:

• Price Above Major SMAs: The stock is trading above its 20-day ($228.85), 50-day ($200.57), 100-day ($228.01), and 200-day ($227.00) simple moving averages. This clear trend favorably positions the stock for upward continuation—a classic sign of sustained buying pressure.
• RSI (14) at 65: While approaching the overbought zone, this generally signals strong momentum, with further gains not uncommon during persistent rallies.
• Stochastics (87.51): In overbought territory, but in high-conviction trends, such readings can persist as a proxy for institutional accumulation.
• MACD (19.82): Currently delivering a mild bearish divergence, yet far from bearish territory, especially given the positive price action and macro narrative.
• Support and Resistance: Immediate support is clustered at $221.58–$223.61, buttressed by multiple moving averages and trend lines. Upside barriers are seen at $266.47, $271.96, and $277.01. A decisive break above the $277 level could signify the beginning of a new medium-term upswing.

Short- and medium-term momentum thus leans bullish, with any technical pullbacks potentially offering advantageous entry levels for investors seeking high-conviction exposure to the sector.

Fundamental Analysis

Coinbase’s fundamentals have seen dramatic improvement:

• Robust Revenue Growth: Q1 2025 revenues reached $2.03 billion, up 24% year-on-year, and FY 2024 revenues more than doubled to $6.6 billion. While net income in Q1 2025 saw a transitory decline (to $66 million, impacted by lower trading volumes and one-off expenses), the underlying EBITDA performance ($930 million for the quarter, $3.3 billion for FY 2024) remains extremely healthy.
• Attractive Valuation for Growth: Trading at a trailing P/E of 49.47 and a forward P/E of 45.45, with a price-to-sales ratio of 10.37, Coinbase’s multiples are high relative to traditional financials but justified in the context of anticipated sector growth and market leadership. EBITDA and cash flow profiles continue to improve, with operating cash flow at $1.96 billion TTM, providing considerable financial flexibility.
• Strategic Expansion: The company is executing a deliberate shift away from pure transaction fee dependency, accelerating opportunities in custody, staking, stablecoins, and onchain infrastructure—broadening the addressable market and dampening cyclicality.
• Structural Advantages: Coinbase commands a unique brand in the regulated crypto exchange space, with 55.87% institutional ownership and a public float of 208.47 million shares—reflecting both professional affirmation and liquidity.

Such structural strengths, combined with renewed focus on cash discipline and product innovation, support the thesis that the recent re-rating may still underestimate Coinbase’s longer-term earning power.

Volume and Liquidity

Trading volumes are a direct barometer of market conviction. The recent surge—22.86 million shares daily on average over the past ten days—is not a fleeting anomaly but aligns with major product launches and sector upgrades. With a sizeable free float and healthy levels of institutional participation, COIN’s liquidity profile supports efficient price discovery and accommodates both active traders and long-term investors.

The sustained volume also sets the stage for dynamic pricing, especially as upcoming catalysts and regulatory milestones spark incremental demand. In fast-evolving sectors, such liquidity is a testament to growing consensus around the company’s forward outlook.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

Several high-impact growth catalysts underpin an optimistic stance:

• Expansion of Revenue Streams: Coinbase is actively diversifying into high-margin verticals beyond trading fees—staking, stablecoins, institutional custody, and enterprise blockchain solutions.
• Spot Bitcoin ETF Volumes: As a dominant market intermediary, increased participation in these new ETF products fuels both trading and ancillary services growth.
• International Expansion: Coinbase is capitalizing on progressive regulation abroad, especially in Asia-Pacific and Europe—potentially unlocking exponential new user growth.
• Onchain Innovation: Development of new infrastructure tools and APIs positions Coinbase as an indispensable partner for the next wave of blockchain and Web3 applications.
• ESG and Regulatory Leadership: By setting high industry standards in compliance, transparency, and security, Coinbase is building material competitive advantages—vital as institutional capital allocates to this asset class.

In summary, the convergence of product, geographic, and regulatory catalysts provides a strong argument for sustained upward re-rating, even with cyclical volatility.

Investment Strategies

Current technical and fundamental conditions lend themselves to flexible entry approaches:

• Short-Term Traders: Momentum remains positive with the stock trading above all major supports; technical pullbacks toward $221–$225 could be seen as potential tactical entry points ahead of the next resistance tests.
• Medium-Term Investors: Those targeting 6–12 month horizons may look to accumulate on dips below $250, especially given developments in institutional flows and ETF adoption.
• Long-Term Conviction Holders: For investors seeking direct exposure to crypto-infrastructure growth alongside global tech trends, the current consolidation phase and diversification initiatives offer an excellent springboard for future compounding.

Ideal positioning strategies include building exposure during technical consolidations near key moving averages, or ahead of anticipated product or regulatory catalysts, as these event-driven uptrends can generate outsized returns relative to the sector.

Is it the Right Time to Buy Coinbase?

Coinbase presents a compelling combination of top-tier brand strength, operational scale, and visionary product strategy, all underpinned by a robust financial foundation. Its current price action, sustained volume and liquidity, and bullish technical structure signal that the stock may be entering a powerful new phase of revaluation—particularly as macro and sector catalysts align for the second half of 2025.

The fundamentals—marked by accelerating revenue streams, expanding institutional participation, and disciplined execution—justify renewed interest from investors focused on the transformative impact of digital assets. While high volatility remains inherent to the sector, Coinbase seems to represent an excellent opportunity for those seeking growth in the evolving global financial architecture.

In summary, for investors in the Philippines and beyond looking for strategic exposure to the next stage of digital asset adoption, Coinbase’s stock stands out as a dynamic contender with significant upside potential. With calculated risk management and a focus on long-term trends, this moment appears ideally suited for serious consideration of COIN as a foundational holding in the technology and fintech arena.

How to buy Coinbase stock in PH?

Buying Coinbase (COIN) stock online is both simple and secure for Philippine investors, thanks to regulated international brokers offering access to the US stock market. There are two main ways to invest: directly buying the shares (spot/cash purchase), or trading through Contracts for Difference (CFDs), which allow speculation on price movements without owning the actual stock. Each method has its advantages and risk profiles, with differences in fees and suitability for various investment goals. To help you make an informed choice, you’ll find a comprehensive broker comparison further down this page.

Spot Buying

A spot or cash purchase means directly buying Coinbase shares on the NASDAQ, making you a shareholder with all associated rights. You typically pay a fixed commission per order—usually around PHP 250-300 (approximately $5) for international trades.

Example

For example, if the Coinbase share price is $263.16 and you invest $1,000 (about PHP 56,000), you can buy around 3 shares after accounting for a typical $5 brokerage fee.

✔️ Gain Scenario: If the Coinbase share price rises by 10%, your 3 shares are worth $1,100.
Result: You make a gross gain of $100—that’s +10% on your initial investment.

Trading via CFD

CFD trading lets you speculate on the price of Coinbase shares without actually owning them. CFDs are popular for their flexibility, as you can use leverage (borrowed funds) to amplify your market exposure. Fees include a spread (the difference between buying and selling prices) plus overnight financing if the position is held open for more than one day.

Example

For example, with $1,000 (about PHP 56,000) and 5× leverage, you control a $5,000 position in Coinbase stock.

✔️ Gain Scenario: If Coinbase rises by 8%, your position returns 8% × 5 = 40%.
Result: That’s a $400 gain on your $1,000 investment (fees not included).

Final Advice

Before investing in Coinbase, be sure to compare broker fees, trading conditions, and available platforms. Each investing style—buy-and-hold versus leveraged trading—suits different goals and risk appetites. The best option depends on your objectives, risk tolerance, and market outlook. Don’t forget to consult the broker comparator below for detailed options tailored to Philippine investors.

Our 7 tips for buying Coinbase stock

The latest news about Coinbase

Coinbase shares continued to trade well above all key moving averages, reflecting strong upward momentum. The current price of $263.16 sits comfortably above the 20-, 50-, 100-, and 200-day SMAs, an alignment typically regarded as bullish by technical analysts. This positioning suggests persistent buying interest and signals confidence in Coinbase’s long-term outlook, which is particularly relevant for PH-based investors seeking exposure to the global digital asset sector without direct cryptocurrency purchases. The confirmed trend strength, combined with heightened recent trading volumes, further underlines positive sentiment.

Coinbase’s Q1 2025 results showed a 24% year-on-year revenue gain, underscoring robust growth in core operations. Total Q1 revenue reached $2.03 billion, demonstrating the platform’s ability to capitalize on increasing digital asset adoption and trading activity. While net income softened dramatically QoQ due to market normalization after late-2024’s highs, the overall annual trajectory remains highly positive: full-year 2024 revenue more than doubled, and net income soared to $2.6 billion. This strengthening in fundamentals reassures both global and regional investors—including the Philippines—of the platform’s resilience and scalability as demand for crypto services increases.

Coinbase’s ongoing international expansion and product innovation signal constructive growth catalysts for Asia-Pacific markets. The company’s focus on global regulatory compliance and development of new products—such as custody, staking, and institutional prime services—expands its potential footprint in emerging crypto-adopting countries like the Philippines. With the PH central bank maintaining a progressive stance on virtual asset service providers, Coinbase’s international strategy increases the likelihood of future local partnerships, product launches, or tailored services that could directly benefit Filipino investors and institutions.

Technical indicators currently reveal caution but reinforce the stock’s longer-term bullish profile. While RSI and stochastic readings approach levels indicative of overbought conditions (RSI at 65, stochastic at 87.51), and MACD reflects a short-term bearish turn, the overall configuration of moving averages and ADX implies that institutional and retail interest remains strong. For PH investors, this blend of long-term uptrend and near-term volatility should inform entry and exit timing, but fundamentally supports sustained exposure to a leading crypto infrastructure stock.

Coinbase’s healthy cash position and strategic diversification lend greater stability amid cryptocurrency volatility, a key advantage for PH investors. The company’s current ratio of 2.52 and cash reserves exceeding $8 billion provide a buffer against potential shocks from crypto downturns or sudden regulatory developments, which is critical for investors in emerging markets accustomed to currency and political risks. Simultaneously, efforts to reduce reliance on transaction fees by broadening its service mix help future-proof revenues, further aligning with the interests of the Philippines’ growing base of sophisticated financial market participants.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.