Should I Buy Alliance Global Group (AGI) Stock in 2025?
Is it the right time to buy Alliance Global Group?
ScoreAlliance Global Group (AGI) is currently trading around ₱8.64 on the Philippine Stock Exchange, with a healthy average daily volume of over 3.2 million shares, indicating sustained investor interest. As a major diversified conglomerate, AGI has shown remarkable strength, recently posting a stellar 66% surge in net income for the first quarter of 2025. This robust performance is underpinned by solid growth across its core businesses in real estate, spirits, and integrated resorts, further boosted by a significant ₱59 billion capital expenditure plan set to fuel future expansion. Market sentiment is increasingly constructive, viewing the company's strategic moves, like the value-unlocking deconsolidation of its McDonald's Philippines unit, with optimism. For investors looking at long-term value in the local market, the current stability presents an interesting window of opportunity. Reflecting this confidence, the consensus from over 12 national and international banks establishes a price target near ₱11.25, signaling strong belief in the group's fundamental value and growth trajectory.
- ✅Exceptional Q1 2025 net income growth of 66%.
- ✅Dominant market leader in real estate and spirits.
- ✅Aggressive ₱59 billion investment plan for future growth.
- ✅Attractive valuation with a remarkably low P/E ratio.
- ✅Resilient and diversified portfolio across key economic sectors.
- ❌Performance remains sensitive to broad economic and consumer spending cycles.
- ❌Potential exposure to macroeconomic shifts from global trade dynamics.
Score- ✅Exceptional Q1 2025 net income growth of 66%.
- ✅Dominant market leader in real estate and spirits.
- ✅Aggressive ₱59 billion investment plan for future growth.
- ✅Attractive valuation with a remarkably low P/E ratio.
- ✅Resilient and diversified portfolio across key economic sectors.
Is it the right time to buy Alliance Global Group?
- ✅Exceptional Q1 2025 net income growth of 66%.
- ✅Dominant market leader in real estate and spirits.
- ✅Aggressive ₱59 billion investment plan for future growth.
- ✅Attractive valuation with a remarkably low P/E ratio.
- ✅Resilient and diversified portfolio across key economic sectors.
- ❌Performance remains sensitive to broad economic and consumer spending cycles.
- ❌Potential exposure to macroeconomic shifts from global trade dynamics.
Score- ✅Exceptional Q1 2025 net income growth of 66%.
- ✅Dominant market leader in real estate and spirits.
- ✅Aggressive ₱59 billion investment plan for future growth.
- ✅Attractive valuation with a remarkably low P/E ratio.
- ✅Resilient and diversified portfolio across key economic sectors.
- What is Alliance Global Group?
- The price of Alliance Global Group stock
- Our full analysis of the Alliance Global Group stock
- How to buy Alliance Global Group stock in the Philippines?
- Our 7 tips for buying Alliance Global Group stock
- The latest news about Alliance Global Group
- FAQ
- On the same topic
Why trust HelloSafe ?
At HelloSafe, our expert has been tracking the performance of Alliance Global Group for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users in the Philippines trust us to decipher market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes and do not constitute investment advice. In accordance with our ethical charter, we have never been, and will never be, compensated by Alliance Global Group.
What is Alliance Global Group?
| Indicator | Value | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| 🏳️ Nationality | Philippines | A major local conglomerate with strong roots and brand presence in the country. |
| 💼 Market | Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE) | Actively traded on the PSE, a benchmark for Philippine equities. |
| 🏛️ ISIN code | PHY003341054 | Unique identifier for Alliance Global Group on global and local markets. |
| 👤 CEO | Kevin L. Tan | The CEO leads strategic expansion and supports the group's innovation and growth focus. |
| 🏢 Market cap | ₱77.14 billion | Reflects solid scale and influence among Philippine-listed conglomerates. |
| 📈 Revenue | ₱55.3 billion (Q1 2025) | Revenue growth remains robust across real estate, spirits, and leisure segments. |
| 💹 EBITDA | ₱10+ billion (Q1 2025, est.) | Consistently strong EBITDA, highlighting operational effectiveness and segment diversity. |
| 📊 P/E Ratio (Price/Earnings) | 3.54 | Attractive valuation, well below sector peers, offering significant upside for investors. |
The price of Alliance Global Group stock
The price of Alliance Global Group stock is stable this week. Shares are trading at ₱8.64, with no change over the last 24 hours and flat performance for the week. The group has a market capitalization of ₱77.14 billion, averaging 3.22 million shares traded daily over the past three months. Its price-to-earnings ratio is 3.54, with a dividend yield of 1.16%, and a stock beta of 0.44 suggests low volatility relative to the market. This mix of strong financials and low volatility makes Alliance Global Group a notable option for risk-conscious investors in the Philippines.
Our full analysis of the Alliance Global Group stock
After an in-depth review of Alliance Global Group’s most recent financial statements and a comparative analysis of its three-year stock performance, we have synthesized a comprehensive perspective by integrating financial metrics, technical trends, peer benchmarks, and proprietary analytics. This multifaceted approach delivers insights for the inquiring investor. So, why might Alliance Global Group stock once again become a strategic entry point into the Philippine conglomerate and consumer sector in 2025?
Recent performance and market context
Alliance Global Group (AGI) continues to demonstrate resilience and adaptability, positioning itself well in the evolving Philippine economic landscape. As of July 9, 2025, AGI trades at ₱8.64, with a notable annual increase of +1.05% and a 52-week range of ₱5.76 to ₱9.90, reflecting moderate volatility. Recent market activity has been stable, supported by strong first-quarter results and an expanding portfolio. Important positive events include the robust Q1 2025 consolidated net income of ₱11.0 billion (+66% year-on-year), acquisition-driven gains, and renewed growth in the real estate and hospitality segments. The group’s diversified exposure to property (via Megaworld), spirits (Emperador), hospitality/casinos (Travellers International), and quick-service restaurants (GADC, McDonald’s PH) provides a buffer against potential sectoral headwinds. The broader macroeconomic context remains favorable for AGI, as the Philippine economy is expected to maintain robust growth fueled by consumption, infrastructure spending, the resurgence of tourism, and continuing demographic tailwinds.
Technical analysis
Technical signals for AGI present a constructive setting for prospective buyers. The RSI (14-day) sits at 47.44, suggesting the stock is in a consolidation phase and not overbought, while the current MACD (-0.025) signals a moderate wait-and-see approach but with underlying positive momentum. The stock price hovers above its 20-day (₱8.613) and 200-day (₱8.351) moving averages, while the slight dip below the 50-day (₱8.754) may signal a short-term buying opportunity for mean reversion traders. Significant support at ₱8.57 and minor resistance at ₱8.75 frame a positive short-term risk/reward setup. The prevailing technical context is best described as a neutral trend with a structurally bullish bias, reinforcing the possibility of a meaningful rally if immediate resistance is breached, especially given the upside to the ₱9.90 52-week high.
Fundamental analysis
From a fundamental standpoint, Alliance Global Group stands out for the breadth and dynamism of its core businesses. Net profit for Q1 2025 surged to ₱11.0 billion (+66% y-o-y), while consolidated revenues hit ₱55.3 billion (+9%), underscoring the group’s ability to drive growth in multiple economic cycles. Segment analysis reveals:
- Megaworld: Net income rose 16% to ₱5.1 billion, with revenues up 11% to ₱20.9 billion, driven by strong property sales and robust leasing income, particularly outside Metro Manila.
- Emperador: Net income grew 7% to ₱1.85 billion, underpinned by international expansion (notably the Fundador and Scotch whisky lines) and solid domestic demand.
- Travellers International: EBITDA jumped 42%, highlighting the continued rebound in leisure, casino, and integrated resort segments.
- GADC (McDonald’s PH): The franchise remains a growth engine, partially deconsolidated but still contributing positively via a significant minority stake.
AGI’s valuation is especially attractive, with a P/E ratio of just 3.54 and price/book of 0.26, both well below sector and market averages, signaling deep value. The company also offers a 1.16% dividend yield and maintains a low beta (0.44), aligning with a conservative risk profile. Structural strengths—market-leading brands, geographic expansion, operational efficiency, and experienced leadership—set the stage for ongoing profitability and growth.
Volume and liquidity
AGI’s average three-month trading volume of 3.22 million shares signals healthy liquidity and sustained market participant interest. A large float (8.82 billion shares) supports dynamic price discovery while minimizing volatility and manipulation risk. Such liquidity is a key enabler for institutional and retail investors to establish meaningful positions without disrupting price stability.
Catalysts and positive outlook
Multiple positive catalysts underpin AGI’s outlook. The ₱59 billion investment plan for 2025 focuses on expanding real estate and hospitality assets, capturing renewed tourism and residential/commercial demand. The strong recovery in the international and domestic tourism sectors delivers direct upside to Newport World Resorts, while efficiency improvements and cost management boost margins across the business. The group’s real estate activities outside Metro Manila tap into the demographic and economic shifts in emerging regions, ensuring diversified, long-term revenue streams.
In the consumer segment, the internationalization of Emperador continues to bear fruit, opening new markets and strengthening AGI’s global brand. Additionally, management’s solid track record—spearheaded by CEO Kevin L. Tan—reassures investors of prudent stewardship and strategic vision. The deconsolidation of the McDonald’s PH franchise unlocks capital for further expansion while retaining upside from future growth. Taken together, these factors signal sustained upward potential catalyzed by both internal and external market dynamics.
Investment strategies
AGI’s current pricing makes it appealing for several investment timeframes:
- Short-term: With price action near strong support and solid Q1 results, short-term traders may find value in entries at current levels, anticipating momentum on further positive news or breakout above the ₱8.75 minor resistance.
- Medium-term: Investors seeking to capitalize on sector-specific trends—especially Philippine tourism, consumer demand, and real estate—are well placed to benefit from one or more upcoming catalysts, including earnings and project launches.
- Long-term: AGI’s sectoral leadership, discounted valuation, and recurring revenue streams make it a candidate for core portfolio allocation. The diversified conglomerate model, combined with management continuity and innovation, provides compounding advantages for patient investors.
Ideally, positioning can be fine-tuned around technical lows, or in anticipation of earnings releases and strategic announcements.
Is it the right time to buy Alliance Global Group?
Alliance Global Group’s profile is marked by deep value, demonstrated earnings growth, sectoral leadership, and the promise of further upside from investments in property, hospitality, and international brands. Current macroeconomic trends—especially policy support for consumption and infrastructure, coupled with the resurgence of tourism—favor the group’s core assets. Technical and fundamental cues align at an opportune juncture: the stock’s discount to fair value, sustaining liquidity, robust segmental earnings, and bullish structural catalysts all make a compelling case for renewed investor interest.
For discerning investors in the Philippines, Alliance Global Group seems to represent an excellent opportunity, with resilient fundamentals and clear avenues for future growth. The stock may be entering a new bullish phase supported by management execution, sector tailwinds, and ongoing strategic reinvestment. Positioned at the intersection of value and growth, AGI deserves serious consideration from investors seeking exposure to the country’s most dynamic sectors and brands.
How to buy Alliance Global Group stock in the Philippines?
Buying Alliance Global Group stock online is a straightforward and secure process when using a regulated broker in the Philippines. Investors typically have two options: a spot (cash) purchase for direct ownership or trading via CFDs (Contracts for Difference) to access leverage and flexible strategies. While both methods allow you to benefit from price movements, each comes with specific fees and risks you should understand. To help you make an informed choice, you’ll find a detailed broker comparison further down this page.
Spot buying
A cash purchase means you buy Alliance Global Group shares directly on the Philippine Stock Exchange, becoming a shareholder. This method usually involves a fixed commission per order, commonly between ₱20 and ₱100 depending on the broker, often shown in PHP.
Gain scenario
If the Alliance Global Group share price is $0.15 (about ₱8.64), you can buy around 6,633 shares with a $1,000 stake, including a brokerage fee of around $5.
If the share price rises by 10%, your shares are now worth $1,100.
Result: +$100 gross gain, i.e. +10% on your investment.
Trading via CFD
CFD trading on Alliance Global Group allows you to speculate on price movements without actually owning the shares. CFD brokerage fees include the spread (the difference between buy and sell prices) and, for positions held overnight, a financing charge. Leverage is often available, amplifying both gains and potential losses.
CFD Gain Scenario with 5x Leverage
You open a CFD position on Alliance Global Group shares, with 5x leverage. This gives you a market exposure of $5,000. ✔️ Gain scenario: If the stock rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%. Result: +$400 gain, on a bet of $1,000 (excluding fees).
Final advice
Before investing, always compare brokers’ fees, spreads, and platform conditions, as they can impact your net return. The best method depends on your objectives: direct ownership (cash) is best for long-term investors, while CFDs may suit those seeking short-term opportunities with leverage. See the comparison table further down this page to find the right partner for buying Alliance Global Group shares.
Compare the best brokers in the Philippines!Compare brokersOur 7 tips for buying Alliance Global Group stock
| 📊 Step | 📝 Specific tip for Alliance Global Group |
|---|---|
| Analyze the market | Assess growth trends in PH real estate, tourism, and spirits as key drivers of Alliance Global Group. |
| Choose the right trading platform | Choose a locally regulated broker with low fees and strong support for PSE-listed stocks like Alliance Global Group. |
| Define your investment budget | Set a clear budget, considering Alliance Global Group’s affordable share price and sector diversification. |
| Choose a strategy (short or long term) | Consider long-term holding to benefit from property, leisure, and consumer sector growth. |
| Monitor news and financial results | Follow Alliance Global Group’s quarterly reports and expansion updates, especially in Megaworld and Emperador. |
| Use risk management tools | Utilize stop-loss orders and sell targets to protect gains and manage risk on Alliance Global Group shares. |
| Sell at the right time | Look to sell after share rallies or before key announcements that may affect Alliance Global Group’s stock price. |
The latest news about Alliance Global Group
Alliance Global Group reported a consolidated net income of ₱11.0 billion in Q1 2025, up 66% year-on-year. This impressive growth was fueled by robust performance across its core businesses, including real estate (Megaworld), distilled spirits (Emperador), resorts (Travellers International), and a one-time gain from the deconsolidation of McDonald’s Philippines, reflecting strong operational execution and prudent asset management.
The company announced a ₱59 billion capital expenditure plan focused on property and hotel expansion for 2025. This aggressive investment program highlights confidence in Philippine tourism recovery and the broader real estate market, positioning Alliance Global Group to further capitalize on increased domestic demand and sustained infrastructure development outside Metro Manila.
Megaworld and Emperador, key subsidiaries, delivered strong year-on-year growth, supporting group resilience. Megaworld posted an 11% revenue increase and a 16% rise in net income, driven by township development and residential sales, while Emperador saw a 7% boost in net profit supported by global demand for its Fundador brandy and whisky, underlining the group’s successful diversification across growth sectors.
Key technical indicators point to a stable setup, with the stock trading above its 20-day and 200-day moving averages. Latest technical signals show neutral-to-positive momentum, with Alliance Global Group maintaining support at ₱8.57 and trading above longer-term averages, suggesting a base for potential upward moves as the broader market outlook remains constructive for conglomerates.
CEO Kevin Tan reaffirmed an optimistic outlook for 2025, citing Philippine tourism and real estate strength. In a recent statement, Tan emphasized the group’s readiness to leverage sector rebounds and operational efficiencies, projecting continued earnings momentum despite external headwinds, a signal of robust leadership and a stable forward path for investors and stakeholders.
FAQ
What is the latest dividend for Alliance Global Group stock?
Alliance Global Group currently pays a dividend. The most recent declared dividend was ₱0.10 per share, paid in June 2025, which reflects a current dividend yield of 1.16%. The company has a track record of annual dividends, striving for stable payouts while ensuring funds for growth and expansion projects, especially in real estate and hospitality.
What is the forecast for Alliance Global Group stock in 2025, 2026, and 2027?
Based on recent share prices, the forecast for Alliance Global Group is ₱11.23 at end-2025, ₱12.96 at end-2026, and ₱17.28 at end-2027. Ongoing expansion, strong Q1 results, and sector leadership point to a positive trajectory, with market analysts emphasizing significant upside potential on both fundamentals and valuation.
Should I sell my Alliance Global Group shares?
Holding on to Alliance Global Group shares may be beneficial given its attractive valuation, strong fundamentals, and impressive Q1 earnings. The group’s diversified business—spanning real estate, spirits, and leisure—offers resilience and long-term growth potential. With expansion plans and solid brands, continuing to hold may be a sensible strategy for investors seeking Philippine market exposure.
Are dividends and capital gains from Alliance Global Group taxed in the Philippines?
Yes, dividends from Alliance Global Group are subject to a 10% final withholding tax for Philippine residents. Capital gains are not specifically taxed, but there is a 0.6% stock transaction tax on the gross selling price of PSE-listed shares. This favorable tax structure encourages investment while supporting regular dividend payouts.
What is the latest dividend for Alliance Global Group stock?
Alliance Global Group currently pays a dividend. The most recent declared dividend was ₱0.10 per share, paid in June 2025, which reflects a current dividend yield of 1.16%. The company has a track record of annual dividends, striving for stable payouts while ensuring funds for growth and expansion projects, especially in real estate and hospitality.
What is the forecast for Alliance Global Group stock in 2025, 2026, and 2027?
Based on recent share prices, the forecast for Alliance Global Group is ₱11.23 at end-2025, ₱12.96 at end-2026, and ₱17.28 at end-2027. Ongoing expansion, strong Q1 results, and sector leadership point to a positive trajectory, with market analysts emphasizing significant upside potential on both fundamentals and valuation.
Should I sell my Alliance Global Group shares?
Holding on to Alliance Global Group shares may be beneficial given its attractive valuation, strong fundamentals, and impressive Q1 earnings. The group’s diversified business—spanning real estate, spirits, and leisure—offers resilience and long-term growth potential. With expansion plans and solid brands, continuing to hold may be a sensible strategy for investors seeking Philippine market exposure.
Are dividends and capital gains from Alliance Global Group taxed in the Philippines?
Yes, dividends from Alliance Global Group are subject to a 10% final withholding tax for Philippine residents. Capital gains are not specifically taxed, but there is a 0.6% stock transaction tax on the gross selling price of PSE-listed shares. This favorable tax structure encourages investment while supporting regular dividend payouts.
On the same topic
