Should I buy Alliance Global Group stock in 2025?

What is Alliance Global Group?

How much is Alliance Global Group stock?

The price of Alliance Global Group stock is rising this week. As of today, shares are trading at ₱7.77, posting a strong intraday gain of ₱0.37 (+5.00%) but showing a 10.21% drop over the past week. The company’s market capitalization stands at ₱68.96 billion, with an average daily volume of 2.81 million shares over the last three months.

Alliance Global is trading at a low P/E ratio of 3.16, offers a dividend yield of 1.35%, and has a beta of 0.44, indicating lower-than-market volatility. While the stock shows bullish technical momentum, investors should note the recent volatility and watch for potential short-term pullbacks.

Our full analysis on Alliance Global Group stock

Having meticulously reviewed Alliance Global Group’s (AGI) latest financial results and closely analyzed its stock performance trajectory over the past three years, our in-depth evaluation incorporates quantitative signals (technical and fundamental indicators), competitive benchmarking, and robust market data synthesized via proprietary algorithms. The outcome is a multi-layered perspective revealing AGI’s enduring strengths and strategic position within the Philippine conglomerate and consumer sectors. So, why might Alliance Global Group stock once again become a strategic entry point into the Philippine market in 2025?

Recent Performance and Market Context

Alliance Global Group’s share price, currently at ₱7.77 (as of May 27, 2025), reflects a compelling narrative of resilience amidst cyclical volatility. While the stock saw a robust intraday gain of +5.00% (+₱0.37), short-term movements remained cautious with a -10.21% decline over the past five days and a -14.77% six-month slide. Yet, such price contractions, juxtaposed with the 52-week range (₱5.76 to ₱9.90), suggest that the current market entry point stands at historically attractive levels, particularly after a period of broad sector weakness.

• Q1 2025 earnings showed a 66% YoY net income increase (₱11.0 billion), sharply outpacing revenue growth and reflecting improved operational leverage.
• Tourism and consumer recovery across the Philippines is benefiting AGI’s hotel, gaming, and spirits segments.
• Megaworld’s consistently strong real estate performance has further solidified AGI’s position, with record-high occupancy rates and new project launches targeting rapidly urbanizing regions.

Sectoral and macroeconomic dynamics are also favorable. The resurgence in domestic tourism, post-pandemic urban migration, sustained OFW remittances, and a stable regulatory environment have collectively fostered consumption growth and capital inflows into Philippine conglomerates. Against this backdrop, AGI’s sector diversification stands out as a buffer—and as a springboard—for future appreciation.

Technical Analysis

• Momentum indicators—the RSI (14-day) at 76.59, MACD (0.234/Buy), Williams %R (-14.74), and Stochastic RSI (78.23)—all attest to robust upward momentum. While such high readings may appear “overbought” for momentum traders, they are often typical at the early stages of sustained uptrends for fundamentally undervalued stocks emerging from consolidation.
• Moving averages provide strong confirmation of this bullish structure. The current price is well above all major moving averages (20-day at ₱7.20; 50-day at ₱6.99; 100-day at ₱6.65; 200-day at ₱6.38). These technical milestones are widely interpreted as evidence of a stock entering a new, higher trading range.
• Support and resistance levels are clear: robust support sits at ₱7.41 and ₱6.99—levels that coincided with heavy accumulation in prior months—while near-term resistance is positioned at ₱7.91, ₱8.02, and ₱8.17. A decisive upward breach of ₱8.02 would likely signal renewed institutional interest.

In summary, the technical setup not only supports the positive narrative but indicates that AGI may be at the cusp of a new bullish phase. Strong buy signals in major indicators reinforce the case for renewed focus.

Fundamental Analysis

• Robust revenue and profit growth: FY 2024 saw revenues rise by 6% year-on-year (₱223.6 billion), with Q1 2025 net income up by a remarkable 66% YoY (₱11.0 billion). Normalized net income metrics confirm that these gains are not one-off, but the product of structural improvements across all business segments.
• Valuation metrics: The stock trades at an exceptionally attractive P/E of 3.16 and a forward P/E of 3.73, multiples well below the sector average. Moreover, a price-to-sales ratio at 0.32 and a price-to-book at 0.16 underscore the degree to which future growth and asset values are being discounted by the market.
• Operating segments each provide consistent growth engines. Megaworld’s real estate, hospitality, and office segments posted material YoY gains, including an 11% increase in mall rental income and a 27% surge in hotel revenue—both direct beneficiaries of the tourism wave. Emperador saw domestic sales growth via the premiumization of its spirits portfolio, while Travellers International delivered a 42% YoY EBITDA jump.
• Balance sheet and capital allocation: AGI maintains significant land bank reserves, a critical asset in a real estate-driven growth cycle, shrinking capex budgets (from ₱68 billion to ₱63 billion) reflecting prudent capital discipline, and a consistent, albeit modest, dividend yield of 1.35%.

All told, the fundamentals justify renewed interest in the stock—offering not just value, but also clear growth potential powered by sector leadership and diversification.

Volume and Liquidity

• Average daily volume stands at 2.81 million shares (3-month average), marking sustained institutional and retail participation. This liquidity offers flexibility for portfolio managers and individual investors alike, minimizing slippage and entry/exit risks.
• Float and market structure: With a public float of 2.53 billion shares (~28% of outstanding), AGI exhibits a favorable balance between liquidity and scarcity. The dynamic enhances its valuation profile, as even modest buying volumes can spark outsized price appreciation when combined with bullish fundamentals.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

• New project launches in real estate: Megaworld’s pipeline of ₱20 billion in new developments for 2025, coupled with targeted ₱130 billion in reservation sales, is supported by demographic trends and urban expansion, particularly outside Metro Manila.
• Tourism wave: AGI, as the country’s largest hotel developer and a major player in integrated resorts, is ideally positioned to capitalize on the resurgence in both domestic and inbound tourism—an economic trend set to accelerate in 2025.
• International expansion: Emperador’s growth in overseas premium spirits (notably Spanish and Mexican brands) introduces new markets and income streams, cushioning sector-specific risks.
• ESG and innovation: Ongoing improvements in sustainability, expansion of mixed-use township projects, and digital transformation in hospitality and F&B segments position the group advantageously within evolving regulatory and consumer landscapes.
• Margin improvements: Q1 2025’s significant net income surge despite only modest top-line growth signals potential structural enhancements, whether in cost discipline, efficiency, or pricing power.

As sector momentum and internal initiatives begin to converge, AGI appears well poised for sustained outperformance relative to peers.

Investment Strategies

• Short-term (tactical): For traders, a breakout above key resistance (₱8.02) or a pullback to support (₱7.41) provides ideal entry points. The “overbought” status in momentum indicators may invite brief consolidations, but these are more likely to prove accumulation zones given the bullish context.
• Medium-term: Investors looking to ride the ongoing uptrend can accumulate positions on technical retracements and in anticipation of H2 2025 catalysts—specifically real estate project launches, hotel portfolio expansions, and quarterly earnings reports.
• Long-term (fundamental): For buy-and-hold investors, AGI’s P/E of 3.16, broad sector exposure, and clear strategy for expansion justify significant confidence. The group’s resilience through challenging macro cycles, robust dividend policy, and asset-rich balance sheet further support a positive outlook on multi-year horizons.

In all scenarios, portfolio positioning at, or just above, the current technical low appears optimal—particularly ahead of major company announcements or sector-wide positive inflections.

Is It the Right Time to Buy Alliance Global Group?

• Trading at valuation multiples well below historical and sector averages,
• Delivering structural profit growth and revenue expansion across diversified segments,
• Benefiting from major macro catalysts (tourism revival, urbanization, consumer strength),
• Supported by both strong technical momentum and sustained liquidity.

Such a confluence of favorable factors suggests AGI may be entering a new bullish phase—one in which the fundamentals justify market optimism and a reassessment of intrinsic value. Whether considering short-term tactical positions or long-term portfolio allocations, AGI seems to represent an excellent opportunity for investors seeking exposure to the Philippines’ dynamic conglomerate and consumer landscape.

As always in the markets, prudent risk management remains paramount, but for those attuned to both value and growth—and who recognize the signals of sectoral rotation—Alliance Global Group stands out as a stock that warrants serious consideration as a strategic buy in 2025. The stock’s current setup offers an ideal vantage for those ready to participate in the next wave of Philippine economic growth and corporate transformation.

How to buy Alliance Global Group stock in PH?

Buying Alliance Global Group (AGI) stock online is secure and straightforward when you use a regulated broker in the Philippines. Investors can choose between two main methods: spot (cash) buying, where you acquire actual shares, and derivatives like Contracts for Difference (CFDs), which allow you to speculate on price movements without owning the stock. Each method offers unique benefits, risk profiles, and costs. To help you find the platform that best fits your needs, you’ll find a detailed broker comparison further down this page.

Cash buying

A cash purchase means you’re buying real Alliance Global Group (AGI) shares on the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE), making you a direct shareholder. Most brokers in the Philippines charge a fixed commission per order, typically between ₱20–₱50, plus a small percentage-based fee and regulatory charges (including a 0.6% stock transaction tax). For example, if the AGI share price is ₱7.77 and you invest $1,000 (about ₱56,000 at ₱56/USD), you could buy approximately 7,200 shares, after accounting for a ₱300 brokerage fee (~$5).

Gain scenario

If AGI’s share price increases by 10% to ₱8.55, your shares now total ₱61,560 in value—a ₱5,560 gross gain (+$100), or about +10% on your investment before fees and taxes.

Trading via CFD

CFD (Contract for Difference) trading enables you to speculate on AGI’s price movement without actually owning the shares. Fees typically involve a spread (the broker’s profit margin between buy/sell prices) and overnight financing charges if your position is held beyond the trading day. For instance, if you open a CFD position with $1,000 and use 5x leverage, you control $5,000 worth of AGI shares.

Gain scenario

Should AGI stock rise by 8%, your position earns 8% × 5 = 40%, or a $400 gain on your $1,000 margin (before financing and spread fees are deducted).

Final advice

Before you invest, it’s important to carefully compare brokers’ fees, trading conditions, and features—these can vary significantly and make a real difference to your returns. Your best option depends on your personal investment goals: cash buying suits long-term investors, while CFD trading allows for flexible, leveraged strategies but adds risk. Take time to review the broker comparison below to choose the platform best suited to your needs as a retail investor in the Philippines.

Our 7 tips for buying Alliance Global Group stock

The latest news about Alliance Global Group

Q1 2025 results show record consolidated net income of ₱11.0 billion, up 66% year-on-year. AGI posted impressive growth in the first quarter of 2025, with normalized net income to owners rising 18% year-on-year to ₱5.0 billion and consolidated revenues up 3% to ₱51.9 billion. This robust performance reflects continued recovery and strength in AGI’s core Philippine businesses, including real estate, spirits, tourism, and quick-service restaurants. Segment-wise, Megaworld’s net income jumped 16%, non-gaming revenues at Travellers International rose 4%, and Emperador’s domestic business was bolstered by strong demand for its flagship Fundador brandy. These results demonstrate AGI’s resilience and multifaceted growth engines, helping to offset global headwinds and operational challenges.

Technical analysis as of May 27, 2025 signals “Strong Buy” with price above all major moving averages and bullish momentum. The stock closed at ₱7.77, gaining 5% intraday and currently trading above its 20, 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages. Technical indicators — including bullish MACD, high RSI (76.59), and Stochastic RSI — suggest continued upward momentum, although overbought conditions hint at a possible short-term pullback. Despite this, the overall technical setup for AGI remains constructive, supported by strong volume and positive price action, making it attractive for market participants searching for growth-oriented Philippine stocks.

Megaworld, AGI’s property arm, continues its leadership by launching ₱20 billion worth of new projects in 2025, targeting regional expansion. Megaworld’s plans for significant project launches and a focus on reservation sales totaling ₱130 billion underscore AGI’s proactive role in addressing rising demand for real estate both within and outside Metro Manila. With the highest occupancy rates in hotel (87%) and mall (92%) portfolios and heightened office rental income, Megaworld reinforces AGI’s leadership in the property sector while capitalizing on tourism recovery and robust retail activity. These initiatives support recurring revenue streams, solidify AGI's local presence, and fuel long-term value creation for shareholders.

AGI maintains an attractive valuation profile with a P/E of 3.16 and a dividend yield of 1.35%. The company’s shares are trading at deep value multiples compared to both Philippine and regional peers, making AGI an appealing opportunity for value-focused investors. The relatively low beta of 0.44 indicates lower volatility, positioning AGI as a defensive play in the local market landscape. Its continued dividend payout policy, with a ₱0.10 per share cash dividend and a 10% final withholding tax for residents, further enhances its appeal to income-seeking shareholders.

AGI’s diversified business model and leadership in hotel development uniquely position it to benefit from the Philippine tourism rebound and domestic consumption uplift. As the country’s largest hotel developer, AGI stands to leverage ongoing tourism growth, revealed by a 27% jump in hotel segment revenues and a 42% surge in Travellers International’s EBITDA. Its well-balanced portfolio spanning real estate, spirits, hospitality, and quick food service provides resilience against sectoral volatility, while its regional expansion strategy and strong brand assets underpin a sustainable competitive advantage in the Philippine context.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.