Should I Buy LT Group Stock in 2025? Full Analysis for PH Investors

What is LT Group?

How much is LT Group stock?

The price of LT Group stock is steady this week. As of today, LT Group trades at ₱12.48, with no change over the past 24 hours and a slight weekly decline of 0.16%. The company holds a market capitalization of ₱134.99 billion, supported by an average 3-month volume of 2.72 million shares. Its price-to-earnings ratio stands at 4.54 and the dividend yield remains attractive at 8.79%. With a beta of 0.48, LT Group shows lower volatility than the broader market, making it appealing for investors seeking stable returns in the Philippine context.

Our full analysis on LT Group stock

Having undertaken a thorough review of LT Group’s (PSE:LTG) latest financial results and meticulously tracked its stock performance over the past three years, our analysis integrates a blend of quantitative fundamentals, advanced technical signals, recent market dynamics, and peer group benchmarks—processed through our proprietary multi-factor algorithms. LT Group’s resilience across business cycles, marked improvement in segment profitability, and compelling valuation metrics prompt a renewed focus on its investment case. So, why might LT Group once again become a strategic entry point into the Philippine diversified conglomerate sector in 2025?

Recent Performance and Market Context

LT Group’s share price has displayed notable resilience and upbeat momentum throughout the prevailing market environment. As of May 27, 2025, LTG is trading at ₱12.48, reflecting a robust 22.75% increase year-on-year and an impressive 8.33% gain over the last six months—clearly outperforming several sector peers within the PSE index. Weekly fluctuations remain negligible, drawing attention to the stability and investor confidence often associated with well-managed Philippine conglomerates.

This strong showing is further underpinned by the group’s best first-quarter performance since its follow-on offering in 2013. Net income for Q1 2025 surged to ₱7.24 billion (+13% year-over-year), driven by remarkable growth in the banking, distilled spirits, and tobacco segments. The declaration of a cash dividend (₱0.15 per share, paid in April 2025) reiterates LT Group’s ongoing commitment to shareholder returns through regular and attractive payouts.

Macroeconomic tailwinds are also amplifying the group’s prospects. A Philippine economy benefiting from a robust remittance inflow, upbeat consumer spending, and the post-pandemic recovery of financial services creates a favorable context for diversified entities like LTG. In particular, industry data shows continued market share gains for Tanduay (spirits) and solid performance for the group’s banking arm (PNB), paving the way for sustainable expansion.

Technical Analysis

The technical outlook for LTG is distinctly bullish and points to continued upward momentum in the short to medium term:

• Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 56.86 signals a healthy bull bias—well below overbought territory—indicating ample room for price appreciation.
• MACD at 0.042 delivers a positive crossover, confirming bullish sentiment and strong momentum among traders and institutions.
• Moving Averages:
• 20-day: ₱12.46
• 50-day: ₱12.35
• 100-day: ₱12.17
• 200-day: ₱12.00
• With the stock price trading above all major moving averages, a classic bullish confirmation is present and underscores the strength of the ongoing trend.

Key support zones at ₱12.40, ₱12.17, and ₱12.00 appear to be robust, providing attractive entry points and limiting downside risk. Immediate resistance lies at ₱12.50 and the 52-week high of ₱12.62, suggesting that a breakout above these levels could trigger accelerated upward movement. The combination of neutral-bullish RSI, positive MACD, and price action above support builds the case for continued strength, especially given the fundamentals at play.

Fundamental Analysis

LT Group’s fundamental profile is notably attractive for value- and income-oriented investors:

• Revenue and earnings: 2024 saw a 12% revenue uptick to ₱129 billion and a 14% surge in net income to ₱28.92 billion. Q1 2025’s 9.3% year-over-year revenue growth and 13% earnings increase reinforce operational momentum and ongoing efficiency gains.
• Valuation metrics: The P/E ratio rests at just 4.54, which is significantly below historical market and sector averages, indicating the stock may be undervalued despite its recent rally. Coupled with a dividend yield of 8.79%—more than double the PSE index average—its total returns profile stands out.
• Strategic expansion: The group’s diversified revenue streams, spanning banking (PNB), tobacco (PMFTC), spirits (Tanduay), beverages, and property, de-risks exposure and fosters resilience. Market share leadership—spearheaded by Tanduay’s near-dominance in the Visayas and Mindanao—highlights pricing power and brand strength.
• Financial health and governance: An 11.82% return on equity and a robust balance sheet support both reinvestment and stable dividend distributions. The Tan family’s strategic majority stake ensures strong alignment with long-term performance but is balanced by an ample 18.6% public float, fostering healthy liquidity.

Volume and Liquidity

LT Group’s trading liquidity is a further testament to growing market confidence. The average daily volume of 2.72 million shares (3-month average) is substantial for a Philippine blue-chip, providing conditions favorable to both institutional and retail activity. Elevated turnover often precedes sustained re-rating, as capital flows into perceived underpriced assets become self-reinforcing.

The consistent float (approximately 18.6%) ensures that the stock remains accessible while allowing dynamic adjustments to valuation as new institutional and international investors accumulate positions. Such liquidity is instrumental in supporting a stable and actively traded price range—key elements for long-term portfolio building.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

Several forward-looking catalysts reinforce the case for LTG’s continued appreciation and strategic relevance:

• Segmental growth leadership: Banking (PNB) posted a 15% year-on-year profit rise, alongside a 20% increase in fee income—reflecting elevated transactional activity in the rebounding Philippine economy. Tanduay’s 107% surge in earnings and sustained market share climb to 38.1% nationwide (up from 32.9%) are noteworthy.
• Proactive pricing and innovation: The group’s ability to pass on price increases—such as PMFTC’s successful hike in November 2024—demonstrates operational agility and strong pricing power, even under a challenging regulatory environment.
• ESG and diversification strategies: Ongoing exploration of new business initiatives, adjacent expansions, and ESG-centric strategies enhance visibility and the potential for incremental re-rating by long-term-focused investors.
• Positive industry cycle: The Philippine conglomerate sector stands to benefit from demographic tailwinds, a growing middle class, and secular increases in spirits, beverages, and property demand. LTG’s sector positioning and proven execution allow it to capitalize on these trends.

Investment Strategies

LT Group’s current positioning seems optimal for a range of investment horizons, built on the interplay of technical strength and fundamental value.

• Short-term strategies:
• Entering on pullbacks toward identified support levels (₱12.17–₱12.40) may offer attractive risk/reward setups, particularly given prevailing bullish technicals.
• Momentum traders may target breakouts above ₱12.50, with potential for a swift test of the 52-week high and the ₱16.22 consensus target.
• Medium-term strategies:
• Holding through upcoming earnings cycles and dividend declarations could capture both capital appreciation and substantial income, riding the benefit of sector tailwinds and ongoing segmental outperformance.
• Participation ahead of anticipated expansion announcements or strategic business updates could lead to re-rating as new growth vectors and revenue streams are confirmed.
• Long-term strategies:
• The dividend yield of 8.79% offers a substantial cushion and attractive compounding for yield-oriented portfolios.
• The company’s proven ability to navigate macro and regulatory headwinds, combined with its market share dominance, supports a defensible moat—potentially unlocking superior wealth accumulation over several years.

Strategically, the current technical structure—price above all major moving averages and strengthening volume—suggests that timing is advantageous for those seeking to layer in positions ahead of further catalysts.

Is It the Right Time to Buy LT Group?

To sum up, LT Group combines the hallmarks of an attractive Philippine blue-chip: accelerating earnings, compelling low valuation, robust dividend yield, and strategic leadership across its core businesses. The alignment of technical momentum with improving fundamentals and a supportive macro context may signal the opening of a new bullish phase. With segmental growth, dynamic management, and strong market positioning, LTG appears well positioned to outperform and merit renewed investor attention in 2025.

For investors seeking resilient growth, stable income, and exposure to the leading edge of the Philippine conglomerate sector, LT Group seems to represent an excellent opportunity at this juncture. The latest earnings and technical confirmations suggest that the upside is only beginning to crystallize. Investors—particularly those with an eye for value and sustainable yield—may wish to give this stock serious consideration as an intelligent addition to a diversified portfolio.

In a market defined by selectivity and the search for genuine value, LT Group stands out as a compelling story—both for immediate tactical gains and for long-term strategic wealth creation.

How to buy LT Group stock in the PH?

Buying LT Group (PSE:LTG) shares online is a simple, secure process when you use a regulated broker in the Philippines. You can become a shareholder directly via spot (cash) buying, or trade LT Group stock price movements using Contracts for Difference (CFDs). Both methods are readily available through leading online brokers, each with its own advantages and fees. Understanding the differences helps you pick what fits your goals—whether you want to own shares or simply speculate on price changes. For a detailed broker comparison, see the table further down the page.

Spot buying

Cash (or spot) buying means purchasing actual LT Group shares, making you a part-owner of the company and eligible for dividends. With Philippine online brokers, you typically pay a fixed commission per order, commonly around ₱20–₱50, plus some small regulatory fees.

Example

Suppose the LT Group share price is ₱12.48. With an investment of $1,000 (approx. ₱56,000), after a brokerage fee of about ₱300 (around $5), you could purchase roughly 4,480 shares (₱56,000 – ₱300 = ₱55,700; ₱55,700/₱12.48 ≈ 4,464 shares).

✔️ Gain scenario: If the share price rises 10%, your shares are now worth $1,100 (approx. ₱61,600).

Result: +$100 gross gain, equivalent to +10% on your investment.

Trading via CFD

CFD trading lets you speculate on LT Group share price movements without owning the underlying stock. With CFDs, you pay a spread (difference between buy/sell price) and, if you hold a position overnight, financing fees may apply.

Example

You open a CFD position on LT Group with a $1,000 stake (₱56,000) and use 5x leverage, giving you market exposure of $5,000 (₱280,000).

✔️ Gain scenario: If LT Group’s stock rises by 8%, your position returns 8% × 5 = 40%.

Result: +$400 gain on your original $1,000 (₱56,000) stake (excluding spreads/fees).

Final advice

Before buying LT Group shares—whether directly or with CFDs—be sure to compare brokers’ fees, conditions, and platform offerings. Each method suits different investment styles: spot buying is ideal for long-term investors seeking dividends and ownership, while CFDs suit traders aiming for short-term price moves with leverage. Your preferred approach will depend on your financial objectives and risk comfort. For a broker comparison tailored to Filipino investors, see the table further down this page.

Our 7 tips for buying LT Group stock

The latest news about LT Group

LT Group reported a record-breaking Q1 2025 net income, up 13% year-on-year to ₱7.24 billion. This strong performance marks LT Group’s best first quarter since 2013 and was mainly fueled by robust results across its core business segments. The banking arm, Philippine National Bank (PNB), contributed substantially with a 15% surge in net profit due to higher interest income and a notable rise in service fees. Tanduay Distillers also delivered outstanding results, with earnings doubling year-on-year and its nationwide market share increasing to 38.1%. These developments underscore the resilience and breadth of LT Group’s diversified portfolio, reinforcing investor confidence in its long-term growth.

Technical indicators confirm bullish momentum as LTG trades above all key moving averages. The stock price is currently positioned at ₱12.48, above its 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages—a strong technical signal of sustained upward momentum. Momentum indicators including the MACD (positive at 0.042) and an RSI of 56.86 highlight a bullish bias, and the current price remains near its 52-week high. This technical setup, in conjunction with a low beta of 0.48 reflecting below-market volatility, has generated positive sentiment among investors and analysts, with consensus target prices suggesting over 30% upside.

LT Group continues to deliver high dividend yields, reinforcing its attractiveness to income-focused investors. With a recently paid cash dividend of ₱0.15 per share and an indicated yield of 8.79%, LT Group maintains one of the highest dividend distributions in the Philippine equity market. The company’s regular quarterly payouts, supported by sustained earnings growth, provide shareholders with both immediate income and capital appreciation prospects. This stability is further backed by the group’s disciplined financial management, as evidenced by a robust return on equity of 11.82% and a low price-to-earnings ratio of 4.54, underscoring attractive relative valuation.

Market share gains in spirits and sustained leadership in Visayas and Mindanao support LT Group’s growth outlook. Tanduay Distillers not only increased its nationwide market share significantly to 38.1%, but also reinforced dominance regionally with 67.5% in the Visayas and 81.6% in Mindanao. These achievements, coupled with double-digit revenue and profit growth in both the tobacco and property segments this quarter, point to health and expansion across the group’s diversified businesses. Leadership in key industries, especially those showing resilience to economic cycles, positions LT Group favorably for continued outperformance in the Philippine market.

Analyst consensus remains positive, with projected revenue growth and strategic expansion plans on track. Expert coverage continues to favor LTG, setting a consensus target price of ₱16.22, about 30% above current levels. Analysts cite solid annual revenue growth forecasts of approximately 7.64% and highlight the group’s ongoing plans for strategic expansion across its varied business interests. These forward-looking initiatives, supported by strong operational execution and positive market sentiment, enhance LTG’s profile as a premier blue-chip dividend growth stock on the Philippine Stock Exchange.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.