Should I buy Monde Nissin stock in 2025?

What is Monde Nissin?

How much is Monde Nissin stock?

The price of Monde Nissin stock is rising this week. As of today, shares trade at ₱6.73, reflecting a +0.75% change in the last 24 hours but a -4.54% decrease over the past week.

The company’s market capitalization stands at ₱120.03 billion, with an average three-month trading volume of 7.16 million shares.

Monde Nissin currently records a negative P/E ratio of -398.41 due to recent losses, while offering a dividend yield of 4.31% and a stock beta of 0.95.

Given its combination of attractive dividends and recent volatility, Monde Nissin’s share performance may appeal to investors seeking income, but short-term caution is warranted.

Our full analysis on Monde Nissin stock

Following a thorough review of Monde Nissin’s most recent financial results and a detailed study of its stock’s trajectory over the last three years, we have applied a rigorous multi-factor approach, synthesizing fresh market data, technical indicators, analyst consensus, and relevant sector benchmarks via our proprietary algorithms. This disciplined analysis reveals distinct opportunities at current valuation levels, even as market sentiment has oscillated. So, why might Monde Nissin stock once again become a strategic entry point into the consumer staples and innovation-led food sector as we approach 2025?

Recent Performance and Market Context

Despite facing notable headwinds over the past year, Monde Nissin Corporation (PSE: MONDE) now trades near the lower end of its 52-week range (₱6.52–₱11.58), with the latest close at ₱6.73. The stock’s one-year return stands at -40.12%, largely reflecting macroeconomic challenges, shifting consumer demand patterns, and specific sector-related dislocations. Yet, this decline comes against a backdrop of steady revenue growth and robust market leadership.

Importantly, recent events signal emerging stabilisation. The declaration of a ₱0.15 per share cash dividend (4.31% yield) underscores management’s confidence in the company’s cash-flow resilience, even as the share price has retraced. Analytically, short-term price action—up 0.75% intraday on May 27—coincides with average daily volumes (7.16 million shares) that suggest sustained institutional and retail interest, notwithstanding recent volatility.

Broader macroeconomic conditions also create a supportive environment for leading consumer staples brands in the Philippines. With inflation appearing to moderate and the food processing sector remaining defensive amidst cyclical economic fluctuations, demand for Monde Nissin’s core portfolio retains a high baseline, setting a potential springboard for price appreciation as stability returns.

Technical Analysis

From a technical standpoint, Monde Nissin’s chart paints a compelling picture for contrarian investors. Most indicators currently signal an oversold and potentially basing structure:

• Relative Strength Index (RSI, 14-day): At 36.95, the RSI is well into bearish territory, often a precursor to a reversal when paired with strong fundamental backing.
• Moving Averages: The share price remains below key short- and long-term moving averages (20, 50, 100, and 200 days), highlighting a pronounced downtrend. However, the clustering of these averages just above current levels (₱6.88–₱7.42) suggests compression, which often prefaces a volatility expansion and possible mean reversion.
• MACD: Still displaying a sell signal (-0.11), the indicator’s flattening trajectory bears watching for signs of a bullish cross as price consolidates near robust support.
• Support & Resistance: Primary support is entered at ₱6.68, with a secondary floor at ₱6.14. Respective resistance is set at ₱7.12 and ₱8.13. Notably, trading near strong support increases the probability of technical buyers stepping in or short covering, paving the way for a potential uptick.
• Volatility and Trend Strength: The low ADX (19.69) and historically narrow Bollinger Band width (0.25%) suggest market indecision and compressed volatility—standard ingredients before a decisive directional move.

Taken together, these technical signals—while presently aligning as bearish—may soon offer the type of capitulation lows favored by medium-term opportunistic investors, setting attractive entry points around prevailing levels.

Fundamental Analysis

Monde Nissin’s underlying business model exhibits demonstrated resilience:

• Topline Growth: For Q1 2025, consolidated revenue expanded 2.8% year-on-year to ₱20.88 billion despite sector-wide challenges, driven primarily by the APAC Branded Food and Beverage (BFB) segment (84% of total revenue, +4.1% growth).
• Profitability: Gross profit increased to ₱7.3 billion (+1.3%), with margins holding at an industry-competitive 34.9%. Core net income was up 1.5% to ₱2.9 billion, reflecting disciplined cost management even as certain categories saw volume softness.
• Strategic Portfolio: Monde Nissin’s iconic brands—Lucky Me!, SkyFlakes, Fita, Quorn—remain household names, providing deep market penetration and brand equity difficult to replicate, ensuring that recent volume declines are more likely to be cyclical, not secular.
• Valuation: While the trailing P/E ratio is currently negative (-398.41) due to one-off earnings volatility, the market capitalization (₱120.03 billion) and analyst consensus target price (₱10.28, +53.8% upside) indicate confidence in a near-term earnings rebound. The dividend yield of 4.31% provides a cushion and signals a commitment to shareholder returns.
• Innovation and Expansion: Monde Nissin continues to invest strategically, building new manufacturing sites and focusing on high-growth categories—including premium biscuits and meat alternatives—positioning itself for secular growth despite cyclical dips.

The combination of stable profitability and reinvestment in growth underscores the view that current valuation discounts much of the recent adversity, rendering the stock notably attractive as a contrarian play on a dominant industry participant.

Volume and Liquidity

Share trading in Monde Nissin remains robust, averaging over 7 million shares per day—ample liquidity for both institutional and retail investors. The sizeable public float (5.98 billion shares, or ~33.3% of shares outstanding) encourages active price discovery and mitigates the risk of extended illiquidity-related price swings common in smaller cap stocks.

Furthermore, the presence of a committed core shareholder group—complemented by strong passive and active institutional ownership—acts as a steadying force on the order book, often leading to sharper rebounds once sentiment turns.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

Several forward-looking catalysts reinforce a constructive view on Monde Nissin’s medium-term prospects:

• Expansion Initiatives: New biscuit production facilities will augment supply for marquee brands, such as Greyham and SkyFlakes, directly addressing segments registering volume growth.
• Product Innovation: Intensified focus on premium and differentiated products, particularly in the meat alternatives space (Quorn/Cauldron), is already yielding improved gross margins and core EBITDA positivity.
• Commodity Price Hedging: Management’s proactive hedging of wheat and palm oil through Q4 2025 stabilizes input costs, insulating gross margins against unforeseen supply shocks.
• Dividend Visibility: A recently declared cash dividend continues the tradition of semi-annual payouts, reinforcing Monde Nissin’s role as a consistent income generator within the PSE.
• ESG and Transformation: As sustainability themes become more central, Monde Nissin’s ongoing supply chain transformation and investment in ESG-friendly categories (meat alternatives, operational efficiency) give it a competitive edge.
• Market Sentiment: The analyst consensus rates the stock “OUTPERFORM,” with 12 active coverage analysts and a projected price target significantly above current levels. This collective outlook often presages a turn in buy-side momentum.

This confluence of operational improvement, strategic investment, and positive analyst sentiment generates a foundation for renewed share price appreciation as the cycle evolves.

Investment Strategies

At current levels, Monde Nissin offers a multi-horizon opportunity for PH market investors seeking to position ahead of a potential inflection:

• Short-Term: The proximity to major support at ₱6.68 and technical oversold readings increase the likelihood of a short-term bounce or mean-reversion play, especially should broader market tone improve or technical signals reverse.
• Medium-Term: Completion of commodity hedging contracts and plant expansion programs should catalyze renewed investor attention through H2 2025, aided by the tailwind of anticipated analyst upgrades as earnings stabilize.
• Long-Term: Structural strengths—market leadership, powerful brand portfolio, and commitment to strategic innovation—suggest that Monde Nissin remains a compelling core holding for those seeking defensive exposure, consistent dividends, and optionality on secular plant-based consumption trends.

Ideal allocation strategies may involve laddered accumulation at or near existing technical lows, with targeted additions should key resistance levels (notably ₱7.12 and ₱8.13) be overcome on improved momentum.

Is It the Right Time to Buy Monde Nissin?

In a market frequently dominated by volatility and sentiment swings, Monde Nissin stands out for its consistent operational execution, resilient dividend policy, and proactive management of near-term risks. The company’s proven ability to deliver positive revenue and profit growth—despite macro and sector headwinds—adds credence to the view that the current share price undervalues the strategic transformation underway.

Crucially, consensus analyst targets point to potential upside of over 50% from current levels, supported by new capacity investments, improving margins in innovative segments, and a strong, cash-generating core business. The technical setup—while signaling recent weakness—hints at the emergence of a deeper value opportunity near meaningful long-term support zones.

In sum, the convergence of robust fundamentals, aligned technicals at oversold thresholds, attractively priced yield, and visible catalysts for operational improvement creates an environment where Monde Nissin stock seems to represent an excellent opportunity for discerning investors seeking to capitalize on an upturn in one of the Philippines’ most iconic consumer companies.

With market positioning ripe for positive reappraisal, the case for renewed interest in Monde Nissin is building on both strategic and tactical fronts—making it, in our professional view, a stock worth close consideration for those seeking value and growth in the PH equity landscape.

How to buy Monde Nissin stock in PH?

Buying Monde Nissin Corporation (MONDE) shares online is both straightforward and secure when you use a regulated broker in the Philippines. You have two main options: buy MONDE shares directly on a cash (spot) basis, or trade them using Contracts for Difference (CFDs), which allow for leveraged exposure. Both methods offer unique benefits—direct share ownership and flexible trading, respectively—making it easy to choose what best suits your goals. To help you decide, don’t miss our comprehensive broker comparison available further down the page.

Cash buying

A cash purchase means you buy Monde Nissin shares outright via your local or online brokerage account, becoming a direct shareholder listed on the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE). Most brokers in the Philippines charge a fixed commission per order—typically between ₱20 to ₱50 plus about 0.25% to 0.5% in total trading fees (including taxes).

Example

If the Monde Nissin share price is ₱6.73, with an exchange rate (at ₱56 = $1), your $1,000 investment converts to roughly ₱56,000. Subtracting fees (around ₱300 or ~$5), you can buy approximately 8,300 shares.
✔️ Gain scenario:
If the share price rises by 10%, your MONDE shares would now be worth about ₱61,600 ($1,100).
Result: +$100 gross gain, giving you a +10% return on your initial investment (excluding taxes).

Trading via CFD

CFD (Contract for Difference) trading allows you to speculate on price movements of Monde Nissin shares without owning the actual stocks. With CFDs, you can use leverage—meaning you deposit a fraction of the trade value and your broker lends you the rest. Fees typically include the spread (the broker’s markup between buy and sell price), plus overnight financing costs if you keep your position open for more than a day.

Example

You open a CFD position on Monde Nissin using a $1,000 margin and 5x leverage. This gives you market exposure of $5,000 (about ₱280,000).
✔️ Gain scenario:
If the MONDE share price rises by 8%, your position earns 8% × 5 = 40% return.
Result: +$400 gain on a $1,000 initial outlay (excluding fees and overnight charges).

Final advice

Before you place your first order, it’s essential to compare the fees, commissions, and conditions offered by different brokers—whether you plan to invest directly in Monde Nissin shares or through CFDs. The best choice depends on your financial objectives: prefer spot buying if you want long-term ownership and dividend income, or consider CFDs for short-term, leveraged strategies. To find the best platform for your needs, check the broker comparator further down the page. Investing in Monde Nissin is accessible—choose the method that fits your goals and start your investing journey with confidence!

Our 7 tips for buying Monde Nissin stock

The latest news about Monde Nissin

Monde Nissin declared a cash dividend of ₱0.15 per share, payable on May 22, 2025. This recent board-approved dividend underscores Monde Nissin’s ongoing commitment to shareholder returns even amid market volatility. The payout results in an attractive yield of 4.31%, markedly above the local market average, and supports the company’s positioning as a durable income play for both Filipino and international investors seeking regular returns amidst broader sector uncertainties.

Q1 2025 results show revenue growth of 2.8% year-on-year and improved core net income. Monde Nissin reported consolidated revenues of ₱20.88 billion for the first quarter of 2025—a 2.8% increase compared to the same period last year—while core net income rose by 1.5% to ₱2.9 billion. Notably, the Asia-Pacific Branded Food and Beverage segment (APAC BFB), responsible for over 80% of revenues, saw revenues climb by 4.1%, with volume gains in categories such as biscuits and packaged cakes, highlighting resilience in core domestic businesses despite dietary and inflationary headwinds.

Analyst consensus maintains an “OUTPERFORM” rating with a ₱10.28 target, implying 53.82% upside. Despite recent share price weakness and negative technical signals, the consensus among 12 actively covering analysts remains solidly positive, forecasting significant potential for price recovery. The consensus target price represents robust upside from current levels, signaling enduring confidence in Monde Nissin’s strategic brand leadership and ongoing transformation, particularly as the company executes its expansion and premiumization strategies in the Philippines.

Strategic expansion and operational enhancements are underway to support branded product growth domestically. Management has reaffirmed plans to build new manufacturing plants—most notably to underpin growth for flagship local brands such as Greyham and SkyFlakes biscuits—while leveraging supply chain transformations designed to lift operational efficiency and manage commodity price risks. These moves, together with sustained improvements in gross margin management, position Monde Nissin for continued dominance in key food categories within the Philippine market.

The company’s meat alternative segment shows signs of stabilization with improved margins and positive EBITDA this quarter. While aggregate sales for the meat alternative business (including international brands like Quorn) declined by 5.8% year-on-year, this represents a slowing contraction compared to previous quarters. Importantly, gross margins recovered by 304 basis points and core EBITDA turned positive this quarter, affirming management’s efforts to reshape this business line and reducing one of the more prominent overhangs on sentiment, with positive ramifications for diversified revenue sources going forward.

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P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.