Is Buying Costco Stock from the Philippines a Good Idea in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been tracking the performance of Costco for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users in the Philippines trust us to analyze market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes and do not constitute investment advice. In accordance with our ethical charter, we have never been, and will never be, compensated by Costco.

What is Costco?

Costco Stock Price

The price of Costco stock is slightly lower this week. As of the latest update, Costco is trading at $982.09, down 0.38% over the last 24 hours and 2.39% over the past week. The company boasts a market capitalization of $435.53 billion and a strong average three-month volume of about 2.1 million shares. With a P/E Ratio of 55.64, a dividend yield of 0.53%, and a beta of 0.99, Costco offers both growth and stability to investors. While valuation appears elevated, the stock’s steady performance and defensive business model offer compelling long-term potential.

Our full analysis of Costco stock

After a comprehensive review of Costco’s latest financial statements and an in-depth analysis of its stock trajectory over the past three years, our proprietary algorithms have synthesized key financial ratios, real-time technical signals, macroeconomic data, and competitor performance. This multi-faceted approach identifies the structural strengths and market dynamics underpinning Costco’s remarkable growth story and resilience. So, why might Costco stock once again become a strategic entry point into the global retail sector in 2025?

Recent performance and market context

Costco’s share price currently stands at $982.09, reflecting a mild pullback of 0.38% over the latest 24-hour period and a 2.39% decline for the week. Despite recent volatility, the stock remains firmly in positive territory on a longer horizon, with gains of 5.90% in the past six months and 10.74% over the past year. The company’s market capitalization has reached an impressive $435.53 billion, positioning it as one of the heavyweight players in the global consumer defensive sector. The most recent quarterly report, for Q3 2025, showcased revenue growth of 8% year-over-year to $61.96 billion and a net profit surge of 13.2% to $1.90 billion. Costco’s consistent outperformance of analyst expectations—driven by robust comparable sales and resilient membership renewal rates—serves as a validation of its defensive, high-quality business model. For Philippine investors, the rapidly rising Asian middle class, accelerating digitalization, and increasing demand for value-driven retail solutions sustain an attractive macro backdrop that aligns perfectly with Costco’s core strengths.

Technical analysis

Technically, Costco presents a constructive intermediate structure, underpinned by robust support and a neutral-to-bullish momentum profile. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 45.35 signals that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, presenting an ideal zone for potential accumulation. The MACD (12,26,9), currently at -5.45, points to a preliminary buy signal, suggesting that downside momentum is tapering and a short-term reversal may be underway. The stock’s key support lies at $964.60, well above the long-term moving average of $962.02 (which itself issues a buy signal), while resistance is set at $1,014.68. Despite the short-term price correction, the 200-day moving average has proven a reliable floor, and the firm’s 52-week range ($793.00–$1,078.23) reflects a clear long-term appreciation trend. These technical dynamics reinforce the view that Costco may be entering a renewed phase of upward momentum, especially for those who benefit from disciplined entry points close to major supports.

Fundamental analysis

Fundamental metrics remain highly attractive for Costco. The company delivered $61.96 billion in revenue in Q3 2025—an 8% year-on-year increase—while pushing net income to $1.90 billion and raising earnings per share to $4.28. These results once again exceeded analyst forecasts, thanks to solid comparable sales growth of 5.7% and a robust pipeline of new membership signups. Costco’s P/E ratio stands at 55.64, reflecting a “quality premium” that investors assign to its sector leadership, bulletproof business model, and formidable pricing power. Although this valuation is elevated relative to sector averages, it is underpinned by Costco’s high cash flow visibility, strong balance sheet, and proven track record for delivering value through cycles. The dividend yield, though modest at 0.53%, is complemented by decades of dividend stability and special payouts—a particularly attractive element for conservative, income-focused investors. Structurally, Costco’s winning formula lies in its unique membership-driven model, powerful private label (Kirkland), strategic geographic expansion, and capacity to negotiate favorable supplier terms—factors that translate into an enduring competitive advantage globally and especially in Asia-Pacific markets where cost leadership is paramount.

Volume and liquidity

Costco benefits from deeply liquid markets, with an average daily trading volume of 2,096,966 shares over the last three months. This sustained activity reflects durable participation from institutional investors and broad-based market confidence in Costco’s forward trajectory. With 443.48 million shares outstanding, the float is ample—ensuring pricing stability while maintaining the flexibility for dynamic valuation adjustment as catalysts emerge. Such robust liquidity is a significant strength, allowing for efficient entry and exit points even for large buyers and supporting the stock’s resilience to market shocks—an aspect valued by both professional traders and long-term investors in the Philippines.

Catalysts and positive outlook

The forward outlook for Costco is illuminated by a raft of catalysts. Geographically, the company’s aggressive store expansion—27–29 new warehouses planned for 2025, pushing toward the milestone of 1,000 locations—signals unflagging management ambition. Costco’s continued success in growing its membership base, which surged 15% in 2024, is complemented by innovative initiatives, such as exclusive early access for Executive members and expanded hours, all designed to drive higher member engagement and retention. On the digital front, Costco’s e-commerce growth accelerated by 14.8% in Q3, bolstered by operational advances in AI-powered logistics and the expansion of the Kirkland private brand. International expansion, especially in Japan, China, and other fast-growing markets, brings a unique opportunity for further scale, which should prove highly relevant to PH-based investors tracking global consumption trends. ESG initiatives continue to mature, with green logistics and sustainable supply chains elevating Costco’s profile among modern, responsible investors. Collectively, these growth drivers point to a robust, multi-year opportunity for value creation.

Investment strategies

With Costco trading close to its 200-day moving average and drawing support from a resilient global economy, current levels seem promising for strategic positioning. Short-term traders could leverage the current technical setup, taking advantage of the neutral RSI and emerging MACD buy signal to enter positions as the stock bounces off support near $964.60. Medium-term investors might identify the next waves of earnings reports, expansion news, or special dividend announcements as ideal catalyst-driven entry points. For long-term, “buy and hold” participants, Costco’s superior operational execution, steady international expansion, and world-class balance sheet continue to underpin multi-year wealth compounding. Ideal portfolio construction may involve staged accumulation at technical lows or increased exposure ahead of highly anticipated catalysts, always anchored in the context of prudent risk management given the share’s premium valuation. The PH investor community, in particular, gains diversification benefits from exposure to a defensive global retailer with deep expertise in membership-based consumer ecosystems.

Is it the right time to buy Costco?

Synthesizing these dimensions—exceptional earnings momentum, sector leadership, powerful macro trends, and multidimensional growth catalysts—Costco seems to represent an excellent opportunity for investors seeking both resilience and upside in the global retail space. The fundamentals justify renewed interest even in the face of premium valuation, as long-term expansion prospects and continuous innovation remain highly supportive. With a robust technical setup, ample liquidity, and one of the most proven shareholder value creation models in the industry, Costco may very well be entering a new bullish phase—one marked by disciplined growth and the potential for significant returns.

For Philippine investors, Costco’s global presence, defensiveness, and multi-channel business model make it a standout candidate for further research and serious consideration as part of a diversified portfolio. The current market environment aligns closely with Costco’s strengths and strategic focus—highlighting the opportunity for those prepared to capitalize on its next leg of growth.

How to Buy Costco Stock in the Philippines

Buying Costco stock online is simple and secure thanks to regulated brokers accessible in the Philippines. You can choose between two main methods: spot buying, where you become a direct shareholder, or trading via CFDs (Contracts for Difference) to speculate on short-term price movements with leverage. Each method has its own advantages depending on your investment style. For a detailed look at fees and features of different brokers, make sure to check our broker comparison further down the page.

Spot buying

A cash purchase of Costco stock means directly owning shares and benefiting from both price increases and dividends. Brokers in the Philippines typically charge a fixed commission per order, often around PHP 250–500 (about $5–$10 USD).

Gain scenario

For example, if the Costco share price is $982.09, you can buy around 1 share with a $1,000 stake, including a brokerage fee of around $5.

If the share price rises by 10%, your shares are now worth $1,100.

Result: +$100 gross gain, i.e. +10% on your investment.

Trading via CFD

CFD trading on Costco shares allows you to speculate on price movements without owning the underlying stock. With CFDs, you can use leverage to increase your market exposure, but additional fees apply, such as the spread (difference between buy and sell rates) and overnight financing on positions carried beyond a day.

Gain scenario

You open a CFD position on Costco shares, with a $1,000 stake and 5x leverage.

This gives you a market exposure of $5,000.

If the stock rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%.

Result: +$400 gain, on a bet of $1,000 (excluding fees).

Final advice

Before investing, always compare the fees and services of different brokers, as these can greatly impact your results. Ultimately, your best method will depend on whether you prefer long-term ownership or more active, leveraged trading—be sure to check the detailed broker comparison available further down the page to make an informed decision.

Our 7 tips for buying Costco stock

The latest news about Costco

Costco posted a strong quarterly sales growth of 8.0% and solid net income increase in Q3 2025. The company reported $61.96 billion in revenue and a net profit of $1.90 billion, with earnings per share rising to $4.28. This continued financial strength, supported by a notable 5.7% increase in comparable store sales, further cements Costco’s reputation as a global retail leader and is seen positively by analysts tracking U.S. consumer spending trends relevant to Philippine export and logistics sectors.

Costco’s aggressive global expansion includes new stores across Asia as well as enhanced digital offerings. With 27 to 29 additional warehouses slated for opening in 2025, several are located in markets with close trade and investment ties to the Philippines, such as Japan and China. This geographic diversification provides opportunities for Filipino suppliers targeting international distribution and regional consumers seeking access to Kirkland-branded products.

Costco membership growth remains robust, up 15% in 2024, strengthening the company’s recurring revenue model. The surge in memberships, highlighted by new Executive member benefits introduced in June 2025, reinforces customer loyalty and solid cash flow generation. For Philippine institutional investors, this underscores Costco’s resilience and provides a reference for local businesses considering similar subscription-based or club models.

Costco’s e-commerce revenue rose by 14.8% in the most recent quarter, signaling successful digital transformation. This surge, powered by investment in digital platforms and click-and-collect services, extends Costco’s global reach and could foster collaboration with Philippine tech and logistics providers as e-commerce integration continues to reshape retail value chains.

Analyst sentiment is optimistic, with consensus price targets forecasting further upside for Costco stock. A consensus target of $1,056.36 represents a 7.6% potential upside from current levels, and most analysts maintain a Buy or Outperform recommendation. This positive outlook is driven by Costco’s defensive positioning, consistent profitability, and record of market share gains—all of which appeal to investors in the Philippines seeking exposure to international retail excellence.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.