Should You Buy Bitcoin in 2025?

Why trust HelloSafe?

At HelloSafe, our expert has been monitoring the evolution of Bitcoin cryptocurrency for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users in the Philippines trust us to decipher market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. In line with our ethical guidelines, HelloSafe has never purchased Bitcoin nor received any compensation from entities associated with its ecosystem.

Bitcoin in brief

How much does 1 Bitcoin cost?

The price of Bitcoin is on the rise this week. As of today, BTC trades at around ₱6,105,000, with a 1.29% gain over the past 24 hours and maintaining strong levels above ₱6.1 million for the week.

Bitcoin leads the crypto market with a capitalization of approximately ₱121 trillion, an average 3-month daily trading volume of ₱2.14 trillion, and remains ranked #1 in global market cap.

Despite recent growth, the Philippines market should stay mindful of Bitcoin’s high volatility and its ongoing potential as a strategic investment asset.

Our full opinion on the cryptocurrency Bitcoin

Have recent market dynamics confirmed Bitcoin’s position as the cornerstone of the crypto ecosystem, and are emerging macro catalysts signaling a powerful new uptrend? Over the past three years, we’ve examined how Bitcoin’s price action, on-chain flows, network development, and institutional engagement are driving a fresh bullish narrative. By aggregating robust on-chain indicators, quantitative technical signals, deep market data, and our proprietary competitive landscape models, we now revisit a pivotal question for strategists: why could Bitcoin reclaim its role in 2025 as a strategic entry point within the digital asset and alternative investment ecosystem?

Performance and Market Context

Recent Price Action and Market Backdrop

Bitcoin (BTC) has demonstrated remarkable resilience and outperformance in the first half of 2025, establishing a new paradigm for digital store of value amid evolving investor preferences. The asset is currently trading near $105,676 USD, up almost 48.4% year-on-year, and stands well above the critical $100,000 psychological threshold. This rally is underpinned by a one-year move from a $1.4T to over $2.1T market capitalization, asserting Bitcoin’s primacy as a global macro asset with robust liquidity and institutional recognition.

• Consistent Price Appreciation: Over the past six months, Bitcoin has maintained strong momentum, consistently holding above the $105K handle and recently reaching its all-time high of $113,165.
• Trading Volume and Market Depth: 24-hour volumes remain sustained at $37-38B, reflecting continuous high liquidity and investor participation.
• Dominance: Bitcoin now commands over 61% of global crypto market value, reinforcing its blue-chip status.
• ETF Inflows and Institutional Participation: Bitcoin ETFs alone attracted over $55 billion in inflows YTD 2025, while over 83% of institutional investors signal growing crypto allocations.
• Macro Tailwinds: Improved regulatory clarity, accelerated acceptance across major finance sectors, and increasing discussion of Bitcoin as a potential reserve asset strengthen the broader bullish context for digital assets.

Technical Analysis

Key Indicators and Structure

A multi-layered assessment of Bitcoin’s technical landscape in June 2025 underscores a robust bullish configuration:

• Relative Strength Index (RSI): The 14-day RSI oscillates between 55 and 62, indicating healthy, moderately bullish momentum that supports the ongoing uptrend without signaling overextension.
• MACD: Recent short-term bearish cross was met with a vigorous price defense above $104K, suggesting strong underlying demand and a high probability of an imminent bullish reversal.
• Moving Averages: Over 92% of major technical signals remain bullish. Both daily and weekly moving averages slope upward, and shorter-term MAs provide tactical support for upward price continuation.
• Support and Resistance: The $104,000 level emerges as a critical support area, while near-term resistance aligns around $113,000. Sustained consolidation above $105,000 argues for a breakout potential targeting $118,930 and, possibly, the $125K area.
• Momentum & Market Structure: The current trading range ($103,000–$105,000) shows compressed volatility and diminishing sell pressure, conditions often preceding significant directional movement favoring the dominant trend.

Fundamental Analysis

Adoption, Valuation, and Network Strength

Under the surface, Bitcoin’s secular strength is firmly rooted in its unique fundamentals:

• Expanding Institutional and Retail Adoption: Bitcoin’s presence in both ETF and open-market forms is now ubiquitous, with notable increases in mainstream exposure and accessibility via regulated channels.
• Market Cap and Valuation: At $2.1T, Bitcoin’s market cap places it among the world’s largest assets, yet with only ~3% estimated market penetration, significant addressable upside remains.
• Network Fundamentals: Post-halving, block rewards have declined (3.125 BTC), raising the production cost to ~$106,000 per BTC and reinforcing Bitcoin’s scarcity economics. The hash rate hits all-time highs, further entrenching network security.
• Ecosystem Integration: Active development, robust open-source governance, and ongoing product integrations (DeFi, NFTs, payment rails) consolidate Bitcoin’s role at the heart of the crypto economy.
• Volume and Liquidity: High 24h trading volumes ($37-38B) and rising ETF flows anchor reliability and market depth, increasing its attractiveness for both institutional and sophisticated retail investors.

Strategic Positioning and Differentiators

• Reserve Asset Appeal: The narrative of BTC as a digital gold or reserve asset is gaining traction with central banks and asset managers, especially as global FX volatility and inflation remain persistent.
• Community and Governance: Bitcoin’s decentralization and robust developer ecosystem protect it from single-entity risks, while its transparent consensus and capped supply drive long-term trust.
• Dominance: Its 61.5% market share among cryptocurrencies secures its place as the primary reference asset for both risk-on and risk-off periods in digital finance.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

Upcoming Triggers and Growth Vectors

• Regulatory Progress: The launch of the SEC’s Crypto Task Force and legislative moves like the GENIUS Act point to a regulatory environment increasingly supportive of institutional crypto investment.
• Institutional Expansion: The delta between current institutional positions and planned 2025 allocations is substantial, with 83% of funds surveyed looking to add exposure.
• ETF and Product Growth: Spot Bitcoin ETFs are being adopted worldwide, democratizing access to BTC and turbo-charging flows from traditional finance.
• Network Upgrades and Integrations: Expected layer upgrades and cross-ecosystem initiatives may further enhance utility, transaction efficiency, and DeFi/NFT traffic on Bitcoin rails.
• Global Financial Integration: Accelerated integration with mainstream financial platforms and reserve allocation trends could unlock new, sustained demand.

Positive Event Flow

• All-Time High Momentum: The rapid recovery and fresh ATH ($113K) reinforce confidence and attract new market participants.
• On-Chain Health: Data indicate spike in non-zero addresses, growing HODLer concentrations, and a lower proportion of BTC held on exchanges, suggesting strong conviction.

Investment Strategies by Horizon

Optimal Positioning

• Short-Term: The current consolidation zone provides tactical buy zones for those seeking exposure ahead of the next breakout, especially as price tests established supports above $104K.
• Medium-Term: Entering positions prior to protocol updates or in the lead-up to widely anticipated regulatory and ETF-based catalysts could capture meaningful upside as technical and narrative alignment intensifies.
• Long-Term: For strategic investors with longer timeframes, recurring purchase plans or DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) strategies can mitigate volatility while capturing Bitcoin’s macro uptrend, underpinned by structural adoption and shrinking annual supply.

• Ideal Entry Points: Technical retracements to the $104K–$105K region, or prior to protocol-level enhancements, present compelling risk/reward opportunities as long-term supports are confirmed.

Where Risk Meets Opportunity

• Volatility Consideration: Bitcoin’s price remains inherently volatile, eliciting sharp yet often short-lived drawdowns—a feature that has consistently generated high reward/risk entry points for disciplined investors.
• Portfolio Context: Bitcoin’s correlation profile continues to shift, now serving as both a diversifier and a return amplifier versus traditional macro assets.

Bitcoin Price Projections

Is Now the Right Moment to Consider Bitcoin?

Bitcoin’s current trajectory is marked by a confluence of technical strength, fundamental upgrades, and macro catalysts rarely observed in tandem. Key highlights reinforcing this thesis include:

• Near-term and annual price records confirming robust market appetite
• Widespread adoption by institutional, ETF, and global retail investors
• Structural advantages from supply scarcity, network security, and regulatory clarity
• Acceleration of mainstream financial integration and product innovation
• Liquidity and market depth at historical highs, supporting both small and large capital allocations

This backdrop, augmented by ongoing ecosystem expansion, protocol upgrades, and a rapidly maturing investment case, positions Bitcoin as a digital asset whose fundamentals merit renewed and serious consideration. The projections outlined above underscore the significant potential for further price appreciation, while the ongoing emergence of new catalysts cements its profile as one of the most compelling opportunities in modern finance.

Investors with a forward-looking perspective will recognize that Bitcoin may well be entering a new, powerful growth phase—driven by macro adoption, institutional flows, and relentless innovation across the crypto sector. The alignment of supportive market structure with promising forward catalysts indicates that Bitcoin could again reclaim its status as a strategic entry point for dynamic portfolios seeking high-conviction growth within an increasingly digital world.

Bitcoin remains a high-volatility digital currency that delivers dynamic investment opportunities but requires disciplined risk management. The latest price acceleration highlights Bitcoin’s potential for swift, sizeable moves, yet ongoing macro evolution calls for selective entry. The pivotal technical levels to monitor are $104,000 as immediate support and $113,000 as primary resistance. The next significant protocol upgrade, targeted for Q2 2025, may prove a decisive catalyst for Bitcoin’s trajectory ahead.

How to buy Bitcoin?

It is simple and secure to buy Bitcoin (BTC) online in the Philippines through a regulated cryptocurrency platform. Investors have two main avenues: the first is buying Bitcoin at the spot price (owning the asset directly in your crypto wallet), and the second is trading Bitcoin via Contracts for Difference (CFDs), which lets you profit from Bitcoin’s price movements without physically holding the coin. Each method has its own features and risks. Below, you’ll find a detailed comparison of both approaches. To help you get started, we also provide a platform comparator further down the page.

Spot Purchase

A spot purchase means you buy Bitcoin and become its direct owner—your coins are stored in your exchange account or private crypto wallet. Typically, the platform charges a fixed transaction fee, often ranging from 0.5% to 1% of your order value, payable in Philippine Peso (PHP).

Example

If the current price of 1 BTC is ₱5,930,000 (approx. $105,676 at PHP/USD ≈ 56), with ₱56,000 (around $1,000 or €1,000), you can buy about 0.00945 BTC after an estimated ₱560 fee (1%).

Profit Scenario

If Bitcoin's price increases by 10%, your ₱56,000 investment would now be worth ₱61,600. That’s a gain of ₱5,600 before fees—a +10% return on your capital.

Trading via CFD

CFD trading on Bitcoin means you speculate on the coin’s price change without actually owning any Bitcoin; your contract tracks its value instead. CFD brokers apply a spread (the difference between buying and selling price—commonly 0.5% to 2%), and a daily overnight fee if you maintain your leveraged position beyond one day. Suppose you open a CFD position with ₱56,000 and 5:1 leverage: your exposure on the market becomes ₱280,000.

Profit Scenario

If Bitcoin rises by 8%, your CFD position will jump by 8% × 5 = 40%. Your gross profit is then ₱22,400 (40% of ₱56,000), excluding fees.

Final Tips

Always compare the fees, spreads, and withdrawal conditions across platforms before investing, as these can significantly impact your net returns. The method you choose—spot purchase or CFD trading—should reflect your goals and risk tolerance. Beginners often start with spot purchases, while experienced traders sometimes opt for leveraged CFD products. For a full comparison of trusted Philippine crypto platforms, refer to our dedicated tool below.

Our 7 tips for buying Bitcoin

The latest Bitcoin news

Bitcoin remains robust above $105K, with analysts forecasting further gains and near-term price appreciation. Throughout the week ending June 8, 2025, Bitcoin maintained steady trading levels above the $105,000 threshold, reflecting strong market resilience after achieving an all-time high of $113,165 earlier in the year. Technical indicators reinforce a broadly bullish market structure, with moving averages showing over 92% positive signals and a weekly 1.29% gain despite brief consolidation phases. Notably, analysts now project a potential 12.73% upside to $118,930 by June 9, fueled by reinforced support at $104,000 and improved investor sentiment, signaling constructive near-term prospects that are likely to interest Philippine-based market participants.

Institutional demand for Bitcoin strengthens, as ETFs attract record inflows and big investors signal further allocation increases. In 2025, institutional engagement with Bitcoin continues to intensify, with Bitcoin ETFs globally attracting over $55 billion in new inflows according to recognized market sources. Despite some short-term rebalancing in Q1, a recent institutional survey indicated 83% of major investors intend to boost their crypto exposure within this year. This trend is especially noteworthy for the Philippine financial sector, as local funds, fintechs, and family offices increasingly reference global benchmarks and products for portfolio diversification, directly benefiting from the maturation of regulated investment vehicles and improving investment access.

Regulatory momentum rises, with new task forces and pro-crypto policies supporting market legitimacy and industry optimism. The launch of a dedicated Crypto Task Force by the U.S. SEC and progress of the GENIUS Act in the U.S. Senate have led to greater regulatory clarity and bolstered confidence across global crypto markets, including in Southeast Asia. These advancements are closely watched by Philippine market participants, given their alignment with the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’s pro-innovation stance and the country’s ongoing review of its Virtual Asset Service Provider (VASP) framework. The simultaneous adoption of constructive policy in major economies and maturing local regulations enhances perceived legitimacy, directly supporting Bitcoin’s appeal among regulated Philippine entities and platforms.

Bitcoin network fundamentals continue to strengthen post-halving, enhancing network security and supporting its global reserve asset narrative. Following the April 2024 halving, Bitcoin’s production costs have stabilized just above $106,000 per BTC, while the network hash rate has continued to increase, reflecting growing miner confidence and bolstering security. These advances provide a foundation of trust for institutions, regulators, and retail users in the Philippines who seek resilient, censorship-resistant digital assets for payment systems, remittances, and portfolio hedging. As mainstream financial service integration accelerates—both globally and locally—Bitcoin’s emerging status as a strategic reserve asset is reinforced for large holders and payment operators in the Philippines.

Organic adoption metrics rise, as interest among new and existing users signals expanding utility and market engagement in the Philippines. Recent surveys underscore growing retail enthusiasm, with approximately 14% of global non-owners expressing intentions to buy crypto this year. This global enthusiasm is mirrored in the Philippines, where digital asset ownership is high relative to the region, and remittance-driven demand for efficient, low-cost payment infrastructure remains strong. Improved on-ramps via local platforms and partnerships—often under the regulatory oversight of the BSP—suggest constructive, organic momentum for Bitcoin adoption, creating positive feedback loops that benefit both private and institutional investors in the Philippine market.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.